Cincinnati @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Carlos Correa has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game. In MLB, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-deepest. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Carlos Correa meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Despite posting a .380 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been very fortunate given the .036 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Martinez will hold the platoon advantage over Royce Lewis today. Today, Royce Lewis is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (96th percentile). Over the last week, Royce Lewis's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 80.8 mph.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Noelvi Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.1-mph. In the past week, Noelvi Marte's 100% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39%. Noelvi Marte has been unlucky this year, notching a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .289 — a .052 gap.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.5° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Santiago Espinal's launch angle this season (14.7°) is a significant increase over his 11.3° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Jonathan India's launch angle in recent games (23.8° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 13° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.8%.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's game. Brooks Lee has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 89.7-mph in the past 7 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brooks Lee has suffered from bad luck this year. His .254 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Last season, Ty France had an average launch angle of 11.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.7°.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Carlos Santana has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph. Carlos Santana's launch angle this season (15.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° angle last year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's game. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage today. Christian Vazquez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last year's 86.4-mph figure. Christian Vazquez's launch angle this season (16.6°) is a considerable increase over his 9.6° angle last season.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez today. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Jose Miranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Placing in the 77th percentile, Jose Miranda sits with a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today. Jake Fraley has compiled a .326 BABIP this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.