Miami @ Washington props

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Over the last two weeks, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph lately. Over the last 14 days, Kyle Stowers's 15.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.1%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) provides evidence that Kyle Stowers has had some very poor luck this year with his .256 actual wOBA.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Jake Burger has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jake Burger has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 10th percentile with a 4.63 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 6th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jesus Sanchez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.8-mph now compared to just 90.3-mph then.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Cristian Pache will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Cristian Pache has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Cristian Pache has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past two weeks. Cristian Pache's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 12.2% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Connor Norby has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Extreme groundball bats like Nasim Nunez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nasim Nunez will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.29 ft/sec this year, Nasim Nunez is notably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Valente Bellozo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Juan Yepez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Juan Yepez's quickness has improved this year. His 25.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.74 ft/sec now. Posting a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Juan Yepez finds himself in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge in today's matchup.

The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 86.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Xavier Edwards has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) in the past 14 days. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, compiling a .360 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .061 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) may lead us to conclude that Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonah Bride will have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the last week, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.4% up to 10.5%. In the past week, Jonah Bride's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph lately.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Dylan Crews's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball. The standard deviation of Dylan Crews's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (35.3° in the last two weeks), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jose Tena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's matchup.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Andres Chaparro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Andres Chaparro's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%. Andres Chaparro has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Valente Bellozo. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° figure last year.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Joey Gallo pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage today.