Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game as none of the available options for the Boston Red Sox share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Juan Soto is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Jasson Dominguez pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jasson Dominguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Tyler O'Neill has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 16.8% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Enmanuel Valdez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 87.5-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in Enmanuel Valdez's launch angle from last season's 10.4° to 19.1° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Austin Wells is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game since none of the available options for the Boston Red Sox share his handedness.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Triston Casas has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last season's 95.1-mph EV. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 97 mph to 94.9 mph.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Rizzo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Rizzo's launch angle lately (7.5° over the past week) is quite a bit lower than his 15.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Ceddanne Rafaela has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past 14 days. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 88.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 13th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Aaron Judge will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (22.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 19.5° figure last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Danny Jansen's true offensive skill to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .018 difference between that mark and his actual .299 wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Danny Jansen's skill is quite good, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe's launch angle of late (23.5° in the past week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 7.2° seasonal figure.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Trevor Story has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .253 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .276.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.