OAK +150 o7.5
CHC -164 u7.5
AZ -152 o10.5
COL +140 u10.5
CHW +136 o8.5
LAA -148 u8.5
SF +137 o8.0
BAL -149 u8.0
HOU -103 o7.0
SD -105 u7.0
LAD -173 o8.5
MIA +158 u8.5
MIN +107 o7.0
CLE -115 u7.0
ATL -140 o8.5
CIN +129 u8.5
BOS +102 o7.5
TB -111 u7.5
WAS +147 o7.5
NYM -161 u7.5
DET -126 o7.5
KC +116 u7.5
PHI +107 o8.0
MIL -116 u8.0
PIT +167 o8.0
STL -183 u8.0
TOR +102 o7.5
TEX -110 u7.5
NYY -119 o7.5
SEA +110 u7.5
SNP, Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Kansas City

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance this year with his .206 actual batting average. Adam Frazier is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.5% rate this year).

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance this year with his .206 actual batting average. Adam Frazier is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.5% rate this year).

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Salvador Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Salvador Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In comparison to his 90.7-mph average last year, Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.9 mph.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In comparison to his 90.7-mph average last year, Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.9 mph.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Brady Singer) today.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a huge platoon split (Brady Singer) today.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP ability, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP ability, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Massey is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Rowdy Tellez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph recently.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Rowdy Tellez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph recently.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. MJ Melendez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. MJ Melendez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Nick Gonzales Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

N. Gonzales
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Nick Gonzales's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year. His .299 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

Nick Gonzales

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Gonzales's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year. His .299 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .238 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Maikel Garcia has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .238 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Freddy Fermin has put up a .327 BABIP this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Freddy Fermin has put up a .327 BABIP this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Kansas City

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph average. Last year, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph average. Last year, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City

G. Hampson
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.9% to 17.6%. Garrett Hampson is very athletic, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.9% to 17.6%. Garrett Hampson is very athletic, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Joey Bart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joey Bart's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (17.5° over the past week) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Joey Bart's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (17.5° over the past week) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yuli Gurriel has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.82 K/BB rate.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yuli Gurriel has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.82 K/BB rate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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