Washington @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. This matchup is forecasted to have the 6th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Iglesias today. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Dylan Crews will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dylan Crews pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is deflated compared to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jose Tena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Jose Tena has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. In the past week's worth of games, Jose Tena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph in recent games.

Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Harrison Bader has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 92.5-mph over the past 14 days. Harrison Bader has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 88-mph average. Harrison Bader's launch angle lately (26.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 11.9° seasonal figure.

Juan Yepez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Juan Yepez will have an advantage in today's game. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Juan Yepez's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.72 ft/sec now.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. James Wood has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. James Wood has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.3-mph.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Pete Alonso has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 96-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 93-mph in the past 14 days. Mark Vientos has recorded a .364 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile. With a .338 BABIP this year, Mark Vientos has performed in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. J.D. Martinez's launch angle in recent games (30.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 15.1° seasonal mark.

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sean Manaea. Ildemaro Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Ildemaro Vargas has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.77 K/BB rate.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 38.1% to 49%. In terms of his batting average, Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258. Tyrone Taylor is remarkably athletic, grading out in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.84 ft/sec this year.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.4 ft/sec this year, Nasim Nunez is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jacob Young has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 84.9-mph figure.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Andres Chaparro will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Andres Chaparro hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 11th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Andres Chaparro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field. Eddy Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Eddy Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.