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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -116 
|
+2.0 -238 
|
|
5.25 |
-140 
|
u9.0 -131
|
-2.0 +178
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.34 |
+216
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.58 |
-240
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 -116
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 8-1 in Luzardos last 9 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
o1.5 -140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.68 |
+125
|
o9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.24 |
-130
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +155 
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+151)
o0.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+134
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.60 |
-137
|
u8.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +146
|
NY Mets
- Under is 9-0 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-0 in Manaeas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+146
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.41 |
-161
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +124
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 interleague starts.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Weathers' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+114
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.97 |
-121
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +169
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
+130
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.54 |
-137
|
u9.5 -125
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Sales last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+147
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.64 |
-154
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Jones' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 home starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.70 |
-140
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +114
|
|
4.45 |
+130
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 -126
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5 +162
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+173
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.95 |
-198
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +109
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+210)
o1.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-191
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
3.71 |
+183
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 +109
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 8-0 in Assads last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Assads last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+114
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.62 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +164
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +186
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.61 |
-138
|
o11.0 -106
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
5.80 |
+129
|
u11.5 -121
|
+1.5 -121
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
o0.5 +125
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+124
|
o7.5 -126
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.27 |
-130
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +155
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
o0.5 +625
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+120
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.69 |
-125
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5 +162
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Imanagas last 11 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Lowders last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Irvins last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Camerons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
LAA
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
WAS
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-103)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Projected Phils' starter Jesus Luzardo got blasted in his last time out, but before that he had given up just one earned run or less in six straight outings. I think he finds his form against the Nats on Tuesday. Our projections also have the Phillies scoring 5.78 runs, which will provide enough of a cushion to cover.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott u1.5 Total Bases (-157)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. Bryson Stott has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.. Based on Statcast data, Bryson Stott grades out in the 21st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.300.. Placing in the 21st percentile for power, Bryson Stott has hit 11.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
ATH
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
NYM
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Angel Martinez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Martinez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an advantage today.
STL
@
NYY
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Ivan Herrera has put up a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Pedro Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+366)
Projection 0.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage today.. Pedro Pages has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
CHW
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
MIA
@
ATL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in MLB.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park ranks as the #5 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Truist Park ranks as the #5 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
PIT
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total Home Runs
Henry Davis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+670)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Henry Davis ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
MIN
@
KC
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Carter Jensen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Isaac Collins o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Collins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
SF
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand today.. Corey Seager is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.. Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Jake Burger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.
LAD
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. There has been a significant improvement in Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle from last season's 9.8° to 14.7° this season.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.1% on the season to 37.5% in the past week's worth of games.. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .326 BABIP this year.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson's true offensive talent to be a .336, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .040 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .296 wOBA.
TOR
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto's launch angle of late (25.9° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.7° seasonal figure.. Kazuma Okamoto has averaged 33.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 94th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Christian Walker has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.8-mph.
TB
@
COL
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
TJ Rumfield o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T.J. Rumfield is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. T.J. Rumfield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Ezequiel Tovar has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.6° figure in the past 14 days.
DET
@
SEA
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SD
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past week, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph of late.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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