Atlanta @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Because of Jakob Junis's large platoon split, Marcell Ozuna will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 98.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 88.7-mph over the past week. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 17.1% on the season to 9.4% in the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive ability to be a .348, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .045 deviation between that figure and his actual .393 wOBA.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Matt Olson's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph mark last year has fallen off to 91.1-mph. Matt Olson's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.7-mph over the past 7 days. Over the past two weeks, Matt Olson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 40% on the season to 72.7% in the last two weeks.

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Orlando Arcia's launch angle this season (8.6°) is considerably higher than his 5.5° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Spencer Schwellenbach.

Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II today. Over the past week, Michael Harris II's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.7%. Sporting a .286 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II is positioned in the 17th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II's skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.34 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Santiago Espinal has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for lefty batting average. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand today. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Great American Ball Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.