SF +136 o7.0
BAL -147 u7.0
ATL -203 o9.0
CIN +184 u9.0
MIN -101 o8.0
CLE -107 u8.0
TOR +107 o7.5
TEX -116 u7.5
NYY +102 o7.0
SEA -110 u7.0
LAD -213 o8.0
MIA +193 u8.0
BOS -106 o7.5
TB -102 u7.5
AZ -114 o8.0
MIL +105 u8.0
PHI +122 o8.5
NYM -132 u8.5
PIT +127 o8.0
STL -138 u8.0
WAS +149 o8.5
CHC -162 u8.5
LAA +252 o8.5
HOU -283 u8.5
MLBN, MASN, NBC Bay Area

San Francisco @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Heliot Ramos has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Heliot Ramos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15% down to 8.3%. In the past week's worth of games, Heliot Ramos's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .016 difference.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Heliot Ramos has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Heliot Ramos's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15% down to 8.3%. In the past week's worth of games, Heliot Ramos's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .016 difference.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.7% in the last 7 days. Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .018 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.7% in the last 7 days. Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .018 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .365.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Grant McCray Total Hits Props • San Francisco

G. McCray
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Grant McCray's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin today.

Grant McCray

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Grant McCray's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Eflin today.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge today.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge today.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's matchup.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 48.8% on the season to 58.3% in the past two weeks.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 48.8% on the season to 58.3% in the past two weeks.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Holliday
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today.

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage today.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Santander generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Emmanuel Rivera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Emmanuel Rivera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

H. Kjerstad
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #8 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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