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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.75 @ 4.25

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Cubs vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.75

-115

o6.5 -105

-1.5 +162

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.25

+102

u6.5 -105

+1.5 -180

Pittsburgh @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.29 @ 4.17

DET
DET logo
DET

Pirates vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.29

-108

o7.5 -125

+1.5 -200

DET logo
DET
DET

4.17

-105

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
NY Mets @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.37 @ 4.73

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Mets vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.37

-130

o7.5 -139

-1.5 +130

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.73

+115

u8.5 -124

+1.5 -149

Top Projection Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-137)
o1.5-130
Cincinnati @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.50 @ 4.01

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Reds vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.50

+116

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -190

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.01

-130

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Atlanta @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.34 @ 4.56

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Braves vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.34

-124

o8.0 -113

-1.5 +135

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.56

+106

u8.5 -122

+1.5 -157

Top Projection Eury Perez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-143)
o4.5-130
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14 @ 3.80

KC
KC logo
KC

Guardians vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.14

-136

o7.5 -112

-1.5 +127

KC logo
KC
KC

3.80

+120

u7.5 +100

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+224
Colorado @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.74 @ 5.04

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Rockies vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.74

+194

o7.5 -130

+1.5 -108

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.04

-200

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +100

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
St. Louis @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.69 @ 4.17

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Cardinals vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.69

+151

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -129

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.17

-172

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Texas @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.21 @ 3.61

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Rangers vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.21

-108

o7.5 -114

+1.5 -200

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.61

-108

u7.5 -103

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
u1.5-185
Houston @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

6.33 @ 5.25

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Astros vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

6.33

-165

--

--

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.25

+140

--

--

Arizona @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.23 @ 4.20

SD
SD logo
SD

Diamondbacks vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.23

+120

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -190

SD logo
SD
SD

4.20

-130

u7.5 -112

-1.5 +172

LA Angels @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.32 @ 3.56

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Angels vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.32

+115

o6.5 -135

+1.5 -200

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.56

-130

u7.0 -118

-1.5 +180

LA Dodgers @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.92 @ 2.53

SF
SF logo
SF

Dodgers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.92

-375

o7.5 +110

-2.5 -115

SF logo
SF
SF

2.53

+305

u7.5 -120

+2.5 +110

Top Projection Kyle Tucker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
o1.5-115
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+216)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 54 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge today.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dansby Swanson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.7-mph in the past week.
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 54 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Coby Mayo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in the game for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 9 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Clark logo
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Maxwell Clark is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).. In the last week's worth of games, Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88 mph to 86 mph.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
View 10 Picks
New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Jonathan Pintaro in today's game... and the cherry on top, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for homers.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage in today's game.. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14% to 19.4%.
View 7 Picks
Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Charles McAdoo logo
Charles McAdoo o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Charles McAdoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Charles McAdoo will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Charles McAdoo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
View 3 Picks
Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL @ Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.. Matt Olson's launch angle this season (17.6°) is quite a bit better than his 14.6° figure last year.
View 7 Picks
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Vasile logo
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.

Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andrew Benintendi logo
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today's game.. Andrew Benintendi pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Ezequiel Tovar has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 43.5% on the season to 64.7% over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some negative variance given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.
View 6 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.. Among all parks, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Total Hits
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 54 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.. The weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this year (12°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° mark last year.. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Bauers has been lucky given the .051 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.
View 8 Picks
Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX @ Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
Total RBIs
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.. Danny Jansen is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Minnesota (#3-worst of the day).
View 4 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.
View 3 Picks
Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+475)
Projection 0.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Batting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Weston Wilson will have an advantage today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Weston Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+190)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
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Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 45.8%.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.