Washington @ Chicago Picks & Props

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today. Today, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37% rate (91st percentile). Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.5-mph in the last 14 days. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.7% on the season to 5.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Seiya Suzuki has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Seiya Suzuki's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.5 mph to 71.2 mph. In the last week's worth of games, Seiya Suzuki's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) may lead us to conclude that Seiya Suzuki has been lucky this year with his .278 actual batting average.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an advantage in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 5th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 30% over the last 7 days.

Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 3.2% in the past two weeks. Dansby Swanson's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.3-mph over the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Dansby Swanson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Juan Yepez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Juan Yepez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last 14 days. Over the last 7 days, Juan Yepez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dylan Crews is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Cody Bellinger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Miguel Amaya will have an advantage in today's game. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Miguel Amaya's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 27.8% in the last 14 days.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 7th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Andres Chaparro has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Gallo's true offensive talent to be a .303, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .265 wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Jose Tena is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Javier Assad. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly higher than his 15.1° angle last season. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (24° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 20.1° seasonal figure.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Over the past week, Jacob Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 8.3%. Over the last two weeks, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85-mph over the course of the season to 87.1-mph recently.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Patrick Wisdom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Patrick Wisdom pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Wisdom will hold that advantage in today's matchup.