Toronto @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field ranks as the #26 field in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Alejandro Kirk has posted a .273 BABIP this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #26 field in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.9 mph to 84.3 mph.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #26 field in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ernie Clement in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 75.4-mph in the past 7 days. Ernie Clement has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the last 7 days.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #26 field in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (6.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Leo Jimenez will have the upper hand today. Leo Jimenez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Leo Jimenez's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) implies that Leo Jimenez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .224 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Junior Caminero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 23.5%. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Addison Barger has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph. In the last 7 days, Addison Barger's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.8%. Addison Barger has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .213 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. In the last two weeks, Spencer Horwitz's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Luis De Los Santos will have an edge today. Luis De Los Santos has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Luis De Los Santos tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Alexander.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.6°, Christopher Morel has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31° figure in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Lowe has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 19% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Logan Driscoll will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Logan Driscoll will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Logan Driscoll has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games. In the last 7 days, Logan Driscoll has averaged an impressive 100.9-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Tropicana Field's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Alexander in today's game. George Springer's launch angle of late (22.3° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 8.8° seasonal mark.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Jose Caballero has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.4 mph compared to last year's 87.7 mph mark.

Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jonathan Aranda's 58.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander in today's game. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Davis Schneider has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days. In the last week's worth of games, Davis Schneider's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.5-mph recently.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Taylor Walls has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89-mph over the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.8° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games. Taylor Walls's 19.5° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 88th percentile. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile.