Detroit @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wenceel Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Wenceel Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 12.5%. Wenceel Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 92.6-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Jackson Holliday has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tyler Holton) in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Jake Rogers's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (23.1°) is quite a bit better than his 19.6° figure last year. Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance given the .029 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP.

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today's matchup. Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Parker Meadows ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.2% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Anthony Santander has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93.9-mph in the last two weeks. By putting up a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander has performed in the 83rd percentile.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today. Riley Greene hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Emmanuel Rivera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Emmanuel Rivera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Holton has a large platoon split. Emmanuel Rivera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Given Tyler Holton's large platoon split, James McCann will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James McCann has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .268 figure is a fair amount lower than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zach McKinstry's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (23.9°) is significantly better than his 13.6° figure last year. In the past 14 days, Zach McKinstry's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Matt Vierling is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Matt Vierling has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Vierling grades out in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has put up a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a .324 BABIP this year, Colton Cowser grades out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 7th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. Austin Slater is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Holton today... and even more favorably, Holton has a large platoon split. Austin Slater has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Trey Sweeney hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Colt Keith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Livan Soto has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Coby Mayo has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Eloy Jimenez has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.