San Francisco @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Mason Black will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Black's large platoon split. Freddy Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has dropped to 3.6% this year. Freddy Fermin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (6°) is significantly worse than his 12.2° mark last year.

Mason Black will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Black's large platoon split. In today's game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.7% rate (87th percentile). Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Mason Black. Bobby Witt Jr. has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph dropping to 90.2-mph over the past 14 days. Bobby Witt Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 44.2% on the season to 35.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Because of Mason Black's large platoon split, Salvador Perez will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Today, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile). Typically, hitters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Mason Black. Salvador Perez has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13% seasonal rate has fallen to 6.3% in the past week. Salvador Perez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .276 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage over Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has been very fortunate given the .015 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

Mason Black will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Pham in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Black's large platoon split. In today's game, Tommy Pham is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (94th percentile). In the last 7 days, Tommy Pham's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Extreme groundball hitters like Maikel Garcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mason Black.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Brett Wisely will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Brett Wisely has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29.3° mark over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Mason Black in today's matchup... and moreover, Black has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Grant McCray will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Considering Mason Black's large platoon split, Adam Frazier will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Given Mason Black's large platoon split, MJ Melendez will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Mason Black today... and the cherry on top, Black has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage in today's game.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .239 figure is quite a bit lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's game.

Yuli Gurriel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage in today's game.