Philadelphia @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers. Typically, bats like Jose Iglesias who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez. Over the last 7 days, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 84 mph to 68.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the past week, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott's launch angle from last season's 9.9° to 14.4° this year. In the last week, Bryson Stott's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryson Stott's true offensive talent to be a .313, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .018 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .295 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 17th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Starling Marte will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand today. In the past week's worth of games, Trea Turner's 64.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Johan Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Johan Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 86.2-mph.

Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have an edge today. Edmundo Sosa's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 111.9 mph this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.15 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is notably fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. J.D. Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage today. J.D. Martinez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. In the past 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 16.7%. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle of late (26.3° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 9.5° seasonal angle.

Tyrone Taylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.6-mph figure. Compared to last year, Tyrone Taylor has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.1% to 49.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15% to 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week. Bryce Harper has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 96.8-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph average.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Luis Torrens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Sporting a .262 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Luis Torrens is positioned in the 80th percentile. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Luis Torrens and his 46.6% since the start of last season rank in the 83rd percentile by this measure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Kyle Schwarber hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Schwarber has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph in recent games.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Weston Wilson will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Weston Wilson has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 26.5 ft/sec to 28.11 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).