Philadelphia @ New York Picks & Props

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Jose Iglesias has been pinch hit for 10% of the time. The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Extreme flyball batters like Jose Iglesias tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. In the past 14 days, Johan Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.3-mph over the course of the season to 92-mph lately.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Trea Turner will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. Over the past week, Bryce Harper's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an advantage today. J.D. Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, J.D. Martinez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.4% up to 30%.

The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Luisangel Acuna will have an edge today. Luisangel Acuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Luisangel Acuna has been hot lately, posting a .450 wOBA in the past week. Putting up a 96.4-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days, Luisangel Acuna has been in great form recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. Edmundo Sosa's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 111.9 mph this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph figure. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 38.1% to 49.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. With a .365 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Kyle Schwarber finds himself in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand today. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 8th-weakest out of every team playing today. Weston Wilson's quickness has improved this season. His 26.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.11 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 95.6-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an edge in today's game. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately. Francisco Alvarez's launch angle recently (34° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 6.8° seasonal angle.

Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge today. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.