NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-186
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-186
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today. Over the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.1%. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .411 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .380 — a .031 disparity.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today. Over the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.1%. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .411 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .380 — a .031 disparity.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. This season, Casey Schmitt has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.5 mph compared to last year's 89.4 mph mark. Last season, Casey Schmitt had an average launch angle of 10.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.1°.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. This season, Casey Schmitt has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.5 mph compared to last year's 89.4 mph mark. Last season, Casey Schmitt had an average launch angle of 10.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.1°.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Grant McCray Total Hits Props • San Francisco

G. McCray
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Grant McCray

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Kansas City

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Landen Roupp in today's game.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Landen Roupp in today's game.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck this year with his .237 actual batting average.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Curt Casali Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Casali
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Curt Casali's footspeed has increased this year. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.47 ft/sec now.

Curt Casali

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Curt Casali's footspeed has increased this year. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.47 ft/sec now.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage today.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Yuli Gurriel will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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