MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 1, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

ATH @

ATL Wed, Apr 1 • 12:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Chris Sale o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)

Projection 9.02 (Over)

Best Odds

o7.5 -140

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o8.5 -108

o7.5 -140

o8.5 -102

o8.5 -103

o8.5 -105

Chris Sale projects as the 2nd-best SP in the league right now as it relates to his strikeout talent, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chris Sale has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 7.9 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.. The Athletics have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Tyler Soderstrom, Lawrence Butler, Denzel Clarke, Nick Kurtz).. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Chris Sale will hold that advantage in today's game.. Grading out in the 90th percentile, Chris Sale posted a 13.3% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

-140 at bet365

Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)

Projection 0.55 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +222

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +222

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +117

o0.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Brent Rooker will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

+222 at DraftKings

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

BAL Wed, Apr 1 • 12:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)

Projection 0.58 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +196

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +196

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today.

+196 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)

Projection 0.51 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +220

Pick made: 31 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +209

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +190

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Taylor Ward generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.

+220 at bet365

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PIT @

CIN Wed, Apr 1 • 12:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Paul Skenes u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)

Projection 4.11 (Under)

Best Odds

u7.5 -130

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u7.5 -133

u6.5 -105

u7.5 -132

u7.5 -130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Paul Skenes to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 61 pitches.. The weather report projects the 5th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

-130 at Caesars

Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +255

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +255

o0.5 +250

o0.5 +136

o0.5 +225

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report projects the 5th-best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Paul Skenes in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+255 at DraftKings

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WAS @

PHI Wed, Apr 1 • 1:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)

Projection 0.7 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +124

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +128

o0.5 +120

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+130 at bet365

Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)

Projection 0.66 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +140

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +128

o0.5 +130

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

+140 at DraftKings

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COL @

TOR Wed, Apr 1 • 1:07 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)

Projection 0.52 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +226

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +226

o0.5 +220

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman's 12.3% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

+226 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)

Projection 0.66 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +156

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +156

o0.5 +140

As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have an edge today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kazuma Okamoto will hold that advantage in today's game.

+156 at DraftKings

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CHW @

MIA Wed, Apr 1 • 1:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Outs Recorded

Shane Smith u14.5 Outs Recorded (+117)

Projection 13.05 (Under)

Best Odds

u14.5 +117

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 +117

u14.5 +114

u14.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Shane Smith to be on a pitch count in today's game, projecting a maximum of 73 pitches.. Edgar Quero, the White Sox's expected catcher in today's matchup, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Miami Marlins have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Shane Smith in today's game.. Shane Smith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+117 at DraftKings

Outs Recorded

Sandy Alcantara u17.5 Outs Recorded (+129)

Projection 17.34 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 +129

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u17.5 +129

u17.5 +125

Sandy Alcantara has posted a 2.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

+129 at DraftKings

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NYM @

STL Wed, Apr 1 • 1:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.58 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +164

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +160

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Juan Soto's 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

+200 at bet365

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)

Projection 0.52 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +220

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +196

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +170

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

+220 at bet365

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TB @

MIL Wed, Apr 1 • 1:40 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Drew Rasmussen o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)

Projection 4.99 (Over)

Best Odds

o4.5 +106

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 +102

o4.5 +106

o4.5 +100

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (CB Bucknor) behind the plate in today's game.. The weather report calls for the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Drew Rasmussen's 95.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 81st percentile among all starters.. Drew Rasmussen's 2482-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 90th percentile among all SPs.. Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 7.49 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.03 — a 0.54 K/9 deviation.

+106 at Caesars

Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.52 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +117

o0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 16th-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage in today's game.

+185 at FanDuel

View 4 Picks

BOS @

HOU Wed, Apr 1 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)

Projection 0.51 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +240

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +126

o0.5 +195

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 4th-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today.. Yordan Alvarez's 13.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Yordan Alvarez has put up a .286 batting average since the start of last season.

+240 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.53 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +119

o0.5 +180

When assessing his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Trevor Story sports a .325 BABIP since the start of last season.

+200 at FanDuel

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LAA @

CHC Wed, Apr 1 • 2:20 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-146)

Projection 1.38 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -146

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -146

o0.5 -160

When assessing his home run talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today.. Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Since the start of last season, Jorge Soler's 12.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 82nd percentile among his peers.

-146 at DraftKings

Outs Recorded

Yusei Kikuchi o15.5 Outs Recorded (-105)

Projection 17.13 (Over)

Best Odds

o15.5 -105

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o15.5 -112

o15.5 -109

o15.5 -105

Yusei Kikuchi has averaged 96.4 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile.. David Rackley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature on the slate at 41°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Yusei Kikuchi performed well in his previous outing and conceded 2 ER.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 5 Picks

DET @

AZ Wed, Apr 1 • 3:40 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.52 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +190

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+210 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Bases (-215)

Projection 1.66 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -215

Pick made: 31 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o0.5 -215

Kevin McGonigle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Kevin McGonigle is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

-215 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 4 Picks

SF @

SD Wed, Apr 1 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)

Projection 0.53 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +187

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +187

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +115

o0.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, Rafael Devers's 15.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

+187 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)

Projection 0.58 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +164

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +164

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +103

o0.5 +135

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.

+164 at DraftKings

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NYY @

SEA Wed, Apr 1 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)

Projection 0.56 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +175

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +113

o0.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

+175 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +170

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +110

o0.5 +155

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the league.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Aaron Judge's 25.9% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.. Aaron Judge has compiled a .328 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 100th percentile.

+170 at FanDuel

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MIN @

KC Wed, Apr 1 • 7:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.66 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +150

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +140

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Vinnie Pasquantino will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

+150 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.62 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +155

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+155 at FanDuel

View 8 Picks

CLE @

LAD Wed, Apr 1 • 8:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)

Projection 0.64 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +173

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +173

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +102

o0.5 +130

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Will Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Will Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

+173 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)

Projection 0.62 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +165

Pick made: 43 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +135

o0.5 -102

o0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's game.

+165 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

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