Cleveland @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Pedro Pages has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 15.8% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Pedro Pages has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 15.8% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Masyn Winn will have the upper hand today. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 87.9-mph.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Masyn Winn will have the upper hand today. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 89.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 87.9-mph.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 2.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Noel
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. With a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jhonkensy Noel grades out in the 87th percentile.

Jhonkensy Noel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. With a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jhonkensy Noel grades out in the 87th percentile.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brendan Donovan has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.5% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past 14 days. Brendan Donovan has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Brendan Donovan will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brendan Donovan has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.5% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past 14 days. Brendan Donovan has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's talent is quite good, posting a 2.06 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's talent is quite good, posting a 2.06 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Ivan Herrera's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ivan Herrera's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jordan Walker will have the upper hand today. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jordan Walker will have the upper hand today. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Cleveland

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Lane Thomas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Lane Thomas's launch angle this year (16.9°) is significantly higher than his 10.6° angle last year.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Lane Thomas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Lane Thomas's launch angle this year (16.9°) is significantly higher than his 10.6° angle last year.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Kyle Manzardo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today. Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Manzardo has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week.

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Manzardo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today. Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Manzardo has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Martinez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Over the last two weeks, Angel Martinez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.4-mph over the course of the season to 95.3-mph in recent games. As it relates to plate discipline, Angel Martinez's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Over the last two weeks, Angel Martinez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.4-mph over the course of the season to 95.3-mph in recent games. As it relates to plate discipline, Angel Martinez's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Luken Baker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luken Baker will have an advantage in today's game. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luken Baker's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.06 ft/sec now.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Luken Baker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luken Baker will have an advantage in today's game. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luken Baker's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.58 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.06 ft/sec now.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 25%. In the past two weeks, Bo Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 25%. In the past two weeks, Bo Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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