SDPA, NBCSCH

Chicago @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryan Ramos Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

B. Ramos
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Bryan Ramos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Bryan Ramos will have the upper hand today. Bryan Ramos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Bryan Ramos has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

Bryan Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryan Ramos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Bryan Ramos will have the upper hand today. Bryan Ramos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Bryan Ramos has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

Dominic Fletcher Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

D. Fletcher
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Dominic Fletcher has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 86.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 84.1-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Dominic Fletcher has suffered from bad luck this year with his .212 actual batting average.

Dominic Fletcher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Dominic Fletcher has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 86.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 84.1-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) suggests that Dominic Fletcher has suffered from bad luck this year with his .212 actual batting average.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Andrew Benintendi hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Andrew Benintendi has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.8° angle in the last week's worth of games.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Andrew Benintendi hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Andrew Benintendi has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.8° angle in the last week's worth of games.

Zach DeLoach Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Z. DeLoach
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Zach DeLoach has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.9-mph over the last 7 days. In the last 7 days, Zach DeLoach's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

Zach DeLoach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Zach DeLoach has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.9-mph over the last 7 days. In the last 7 days, Zach DeLoach's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today's game. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today's game. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40% to 47.2%.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40% to 47.2%.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed base hits. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (2.4° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 9.7° seasonal angle.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed base hits. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (2.4° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 9.7° seasonal angle.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Lenyn Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Lenyn Sosa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 91.7-mph in the last 14 days. Compared to last season, Lenyn Sosa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.3% to 52.2% this season.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Lenyn Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Lenyn Sosa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 91.7-mph in the last 14 days. Compared to last season, Lenyn Sosa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.3% to 52.2% this season.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed base hits. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed base hits. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Chris Flexen will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado today.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has experienced some negative variance given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Despite posting a .296 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has experienced some negative variance given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Martin Perez today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game. Jurickson Profar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86.5-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Jurickson Profar has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.2° figure in the last two weeks.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's game. Jurickson Profar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86.5-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Jurickson Profar has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 20.2° figure in the last two weeks.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • San Diego

K. Higashioka
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Kyle Higashioka will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Kyle Higashioka will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

David Peralta Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Flexen today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, David Peralta has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.8% to 17.6% this season.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Flexen today. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. David Peralta will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, David Peralta has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.8% to 17.6% this season.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Vargas
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's game. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Miguel Vargas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph to 89.8-mph in the past week.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's game. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Miguel Vargas has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph to 89.8-mph in the past week.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Korey Lee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Korey Lee has experienced some negative variance this year. His .203 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Korey Lee will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Korey Lee has experienced some negative variance this year. His .203 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Jacob Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

J. Amaya
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Jacob Amaya will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Jacob Amaya has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark. Jacob Amaya's speed has gotten better this year. His 26.29 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.18 ft/sec now.

Jacob Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jacob Amaya will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today. Jacob Amaya has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark. Jacob Amaya's speed has gotten better this year. His 26.29 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.18 ft/sec now.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Solano
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Donovan Solano has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.7°. Donovan Solano has notched a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Donovan Solano has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.7°. Donovan Solano has notched a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Chuckie Robinson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

C. Robinson
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Chuckie Robinson will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Chuckie Robinson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park. Chuckie Robinson will hold the platoon advantage over Martin Perez in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams playing today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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