Chicago @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #27 park in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has had some very good luck this year. His .375 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .358.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele today. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Alec Bohm has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.6-mph average.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. Batting from the opposite that Justin Steele throws from, Trea Turner will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.4 mph to 88.7 mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 7th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Isaac Paredes has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 88.3-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Tauchman in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Brandon Marsh meets a tough challenge today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Compared to last year, Christian Bethancourt has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.2% to 19.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Justin Steele will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-strongest infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. In terms of his batting average, Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side this year. His .269 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .285.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 88.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.2-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Justin Steele throws from, Kyle Schwarber has a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. J.T. Realmuto has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Miles Mastrobuoni has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.