Boston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Out of every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto's #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Masataka Yoshida, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masataka Yoshida today.

Rogers Centre ranks as the #21 ballpark in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers. Out of every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the last week, Romy Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 50%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Over the last 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 14.3%. In the past week, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Connor Wong has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 29° angle in the past week.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Joey Loperfido's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Loperfido will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Houck in today's game... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Joey Loperfido is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Loperfido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement's launch angle lately (20.3° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal mark.

Leo Jimenez's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Leo Jimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Leo Jimenez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tyler O'Neill has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.4% rate last season to 17.8% this season.

Triston Casas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathan Lukes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today's game... and the cherry on top, Houck has a large platoon split. Addison Barger is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Vaughn Grissom has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .174 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .265 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Vaughn Grissom has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial talent for batting average), grading out in the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jonatan Clase will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jonatan Clase is quite toolsy, ranking in the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.69 ft/sec this year.

Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Story has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games. Trevor Story's launch angle this season (19°) is considerably better than his 15.2° angle last year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.