Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Julio Rodriguez's launch angle recently (2.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 10.7° seasonal figure. By putting up a 3.78 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 18th percentile.

In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Jake Meyers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40% to 45% this season. As it relates to his batting average, Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck this year. His .220 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 17.2%. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.5% on the season to 63.3% over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year with his .204 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez today. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Over the past 14 days, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.2°.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jason Heyward will have the upper hand today. Jason Heyward is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Jason Heyward will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jason Heyward has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Placing in the 81st percentile, Mauricio Dubon has posted a .271 batting average this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Victor Caratini will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Victor Caratini ranks in the 78th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .261. Victor Caratini has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 2.05 K/BB rate. Victor Caratini has compiled a .275 batting average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year. His .317 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

Jeremy Pena's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena has compiled a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 17th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 18.2%.

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Haniger will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's game. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, posting a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .032 disparity. Mitch Haniger's 90.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB this year: 76th percentile.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage today. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Mitch Garver generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Mitch Garver has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) provides evidence that Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% over the past week.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today's game. Jon Singleton is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.