Miami @ Minnesota Picks & Props

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .038 gap. Xavier Edwards's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 102.7 mph this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

42% of the time that Manuel Margot has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Manuel Margot hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.9% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Manuel Margot has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Manuel Margot has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the past 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Manuel Margot has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5°) over the last 14 days.

Derek Hill's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball hitters like Derek Hill usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) provides evidence that Derek Hill has been unlucky this year with his .245 actual batting average.

In MLB, Target Field's CF dimensions are the 10th-deepest. Carlos Correa has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days. Carlos Correa has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 85-mph in the last two weeks. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (-1.3° in the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 8.9° seasonal angle. Despite posting a .379 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has experienced some positive variance given the .036 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Kyle Stowers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure. Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .267 figure is quite a bit lower than his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Otto Lopez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. In the past 7 days, Otto Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph in recent games.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .268, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .018 difference between that mark and his actual .250 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Royce Lewis will have an edge in today's game. Royce Lewis will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Weathers today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle lately (1.5° over the last week) is considerably worse than his 15.6° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's game. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Jake Burger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last week.

Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will get to bat from his good side against Ryan Weathers in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 87th percentile.

Jose Miranda's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Jose Miranda will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game. Jose Miranda will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Miranda's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 8.5% to 12.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Willi Castro has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 49.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Connor Norby has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.2% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past 7 days.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Jonah Bride has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last 7 days. Jonah Bride has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.7-mph figure.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 20.4%.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams in action today. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Griffin Conine has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 32.1° launch angle standard deviation in the past two weeks.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.