Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage over Cedric Mullins in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the past two weeks, Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 92-mph lately.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman's launch angle from last year's 12.5° to 18.7° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Dean Kremer. Jasson Dominguez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jasson Dominguez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Alex Verdugo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Alex Verdugo has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .033 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage over Ryan O'Hearn today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Ryan O'Hearn has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .322 figure is deflated compared to his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Ryan O'Hearn's talent is quite good, sporting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 96th percentile.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Anthony Santander has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph. Anthony Santander's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (14.7°) is a considerable increase over his 11.7° mark last season.

Emmanuel Rivera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the past week, Emmanuel Rivera's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 18.2%. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days. Emmanuel Rivera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 15.6% on the season to 27.3% over the past 7 days.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Aaron Judge has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 26.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Anthony Rizzo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Anthony Rizzo's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nestor Cortes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heston Kjerstad in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Heston Kjerstad has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Wells ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the same side that Nestor Cortes throws from, Colton Cowser will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Over the past 7 days, Colton Cowser's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 28.6%.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage over Gunnar Henderson today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Gunnar Henderson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Gleyber Torres will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.8% rate last season to 20.8% this year.

Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Placing in the 80th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Ramon Urias demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key skill for achieving a high batting average. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Ramon Urias has put up a .328 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team in action today. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) may lead us to conclude that Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual batting average. Anthony Volpe has notched a .313 BABIP this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jordan Westburg has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.5% rate last season to 12.5% this year. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 18.4%.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.