Boston @ Toronto props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for LHB batting average. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive skill to be a .338, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .020 disparity between that figure and his actual .358 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Extreme flyball batters like Romy Gonzalez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis. In the last 7 days, Romy Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Tyler O'Neill has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.4% rate last year to 17.8% this year. Tyler O'Neill has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 17.8% seasonal rate to 31.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge in today's game. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 35.7% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Leo Jimenez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Leo Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph recently. Leo Jimenez is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the majors for RHB batting average. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Typically, hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Joey Loperfido is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Ceddanne Rafaela has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. Ceddanne Rafaela's launch angle recently (34.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Vaughn Grissom has experienced some negative variance this year. His .167 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .274. Vaughn Grissom has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), placing in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Extreme flyball bats like Davis Schneider tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Davis Schneider has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 21.7% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Connor Wong has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.3° figure in the last 7 days. In notching a .349 BABIP this year, Connor Wong grades out in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Nathan Lukes is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Despite posting a .295 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Danny Jansen has had some very poor luck given the .022 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317. Danny Jansen has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's game... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Addison Barger has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Addison Barger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 16.7%.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's game. Masataka Yoshida hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Masataka Yoshida with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Ernie Clement's launch angle in recent games (22.2° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.5° seasonal figure. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .269 batting average this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, George Springer has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Over the last 7 days, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 20%. Over the last two weeks, Trevor Story's 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%. Trevor Story has recorded a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Alejandro Kirk's launch angle from last year's 6.2° to 10.1° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In notching a .338 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Wilyer Abreu is ranked in the 79th percentile. In notching a .332 BABIP this year, Wilyer Abreu grades out in the 91st percentile.