New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props
NYM vs ATL Picks
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NYM vs ATL Consensus Picks
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77% picking Atlanta
Total PicksNYM 135, ATL 447
NYM vs ATL Props
Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Gio Urshela is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game. When starting against a southpaw this year, Gio Urshela has been pinch hit for 10% of the time. In MLB, Truist Park's LF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Gio Urshela has put up a .292 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 24th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .277 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Gio Urshela grades out in the 10th percentile.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Ozzie Albies's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.7-mph in the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.6-mph EV last season has fallen to 90.3-mph. In the past 7 days, Ozzie Albies's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.5%. Ozzie Albies has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .253 mark is a fair amount higher than his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets

In MLB, Truist Park's LF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jose Iglesias has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past 7 days. Jose Iglesias's launch angle recently (2.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 8.4° seasonal figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive talent to be a .295, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .068 disparity between that mark and his actual .363 wOBA.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Truist Park grades out as the #6 field in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Harrison Bader will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Harrison Bader has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 88-mph figure.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. In the past week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 27.3%.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Starling Marte is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Starling Marte will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Truist Park grades out as the #6 field in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park has the shallowest CF fences in the majors. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Brandon Nimmo has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week's worth of games.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sean Murphy will have an edge in today's matchup.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Orlando Arcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Atlanta

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Tyrone Taylor will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 38.1% to 50.5%.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (96%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage today.
NYM vs ATL Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+14.55 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+15.60 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+10.60 Units / 9% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 106 games (-16.24 Units / -13% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 154 games (+35.45 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 148 games (-53.40 Units / -33% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 52 games (-9.50 Units / -15% ROI)
NYM vs ATL Top User Picks
More PicksNY Mets Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
All Mets Money Leaders |
Atlanta Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
All Braves Money Leaders |