San Diego @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 90-mph in the last two weeks. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this season (11.1°) is significantly better than his 7.9° figure last season. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, notching a .297 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .031 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Gavin Lux will have an advantage today. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Gavin Lux has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .243 mark is considerably lower than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers only has 1 same-handed RP. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle in recent games (34.7° in the last week) is a significant increase over his 13.6° seasonal mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.4-mph to 99.8-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge today. Jackson Merrill may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Los Angeles Dodgers only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 7th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge today. Freddie Freeman will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Teoscar Hernandez has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 14 days. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Jurickson Profar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 86.5-mph EV. Based on Statcast data, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .276. Placing in the 93rd percentile, Jurickson Profar has put up a .365 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Miguel Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 11.6% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games. Posting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Miguel Rojas is ranked in the 92nd percentile. Miguel Rojas has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.55 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Miguel Rojas has posted a .280 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 11.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days. Manny Machado's launch angle recently (20.9° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.4° seasonal figure.

Max Muncy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy has put up a .365 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 94th percentile. Max Muncy has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Shohei Ohtani will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Mookie Betts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mookie Betts's launch angle lately (25.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 20.8° seasonal mark.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.3-mph figure last year has fallen off to 86.3-mph. Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 74.6-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Dodger Stadium has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

David Peralta has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.