Miami @ Minnesota Picks & Props

In the league, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Valente Bellozo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa today. Carlos Correa's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.2-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86-mph over the past two weeks. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (0.9° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 9° seasonal mark. Carlos Correa has been lucky this year, putting up a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .038 deviation.

Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's matchup. In today's game, Byron Buxton is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.9% rate (99th percentile). Typically, bats like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Valente Bellozo. Last season, Byron Buxton had a launch angle of 21.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 16.6°. Byron Buxton has been lucky this year, posting a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .020 gap.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Derek Hill's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.7°, Derek Hill has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22° mark in the past 7 days.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Kyle Farmer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Kyle Farmer has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 29.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.6°. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 15.9% to 20.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .264 BA is quite a bit lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Griffin Conine can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. In the last 7 days, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 14.3%.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 49%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over David Festa in today's matchup.

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Jose Miranda's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.9°, Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 43.3° angle in the last 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Royce Lewis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's game. Carlos Santana has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.