San Diego @ Arizona Picks & Props

In today's matchup, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.4% rate (100th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team on the slate today. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jackson Merrill has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 87.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all parks. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.3-mph figure last season has lowered to 86.2-mph. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 77.8-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88-mph EV.

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Kyle Higashioka's launch angle lately (32.7° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 20° seasonal figure. Compared to last year, Kyle Higashioka has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.5% to 23.5% this season.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the same side that Martin Perez throws from, Pavin Smith encounters a tough challenge today. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Donovan Solano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 94.7-mph over the past week.

Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team on the slate today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Ketel Marte projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Gabriel Moreno will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Martin Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake McCarthy today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo's 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Elias Diaz has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.