Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 31, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+180 
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -125 
|
|
4.03 |
-182 
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
San Francisco
Atlanta
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+160
|
o8.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.10 |
-165
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130 
|
NY Mets
Tampa Bay
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-138 
|
o8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.65 |
+132
|
u9.0 -108
|
+1.5 -125 
|
San Diego
Cincinnati
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-108
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.39 |
+102
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
Washington
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.92 |
+151
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.68 |
-158
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
Seattle
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+101
|
o9.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.19 |
-108
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Milwaukee
Chi. Cubs
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+111
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.65 |
-116
|
u9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.08 |
+200
|
o7.0 -139
|
+3.5 -315
|
|
4.02 |
-205
|
u7.5 -115
|
-3.5 +245
|
Athletics
Texas
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
+120
|
o7.0 -210
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.76 |
-127
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
Houston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.35 |
-126
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.30 |
+120
|
u11.0 -112
|
+1.5 -125
|
Baltimore
Colorado
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-119
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.07 |
+111
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
NY Yankees
LA Angels
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.18 |
-114
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.97 |
+108
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
Philadelphia
Arizona
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
Cincinnati
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
Cleveland
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
Tampa Bay
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.75 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
Washington
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.93 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
Kansas City
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.15 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
Chi. Cubs
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.24 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
Texas
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
Houston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
Colorado
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
LA Angels
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Bryce Elder o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+133)
Pricing is doing the heavy lifting, per usual, with the best projected Over K prop on the board today. Bryce Elder is getting a 100-pitch leash these days and working deep into games, recording 18+ outs in all but one of his last seven starts since the All-Star break. The projection is 89 pitches and 4.35 Ks, but that might be conservative. If he gets to 95+ pitches today, that K projection could move above 4.5, making this a good buy at even money or better. At the current projection, the fair price is around +110 to +115. The Giants are not a threatening offense and own the third-worst K% over the last two weeks at 26.7%, with that number being even worse on the road. Six innings and five Ks at this big price is not a tough ask. Also, who doesn't want action on the first game of the day?
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
My play of the day today. Rafael Devers has absolutely dominated Bryce Elder throughout his career - he's 5-for-6 with a double and two home runs across eight plate appearances against him, owning a .404 xBA and .920 xSLG. It helps that he's one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, too, with four multi-hit games over his last five. Coming in well-rested after an off day, expect Devers to rake.
NYM
@
TB
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:40 PM ET
TB -1.5 (+115)
I just can't quit the Rays - and for good reason. They're the fourth-best cover team in baseball (55.2%) and should have no problem with the Mets today. Robert Stock has been as shaky as they come for New York, allowing seven earned runs off 10 hits against the Brewers his last time on the mound. With an xERA of 4.90 this year, he'll struggle to keep one of baseball's most potent offenses off the basepaths. A struggling starter with a taxed bullpen behind him usually isn't a recipe for success.
Carson Benge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+810)
Lefty Ian Seymour is a sneaky home run target today and is a reverse-splits pitcher, as lefties hit him for a better average and more power. Left-handed hitters go yard once every 15.8 batters against him, compared to once every 32 right-handed batters. That's a great home run rate for left-handed hitters, who are almost always priced longer when facing southpaws. Finding reverse splits on either a pitcher or hitter can create value, and in this case, we have both. Carson Benge is the home run target at a price more than 200 points higher than his average number. He's a left-handed bat who hits dingers against right-handers once every 36.4 batters, but that rate jumps to once every 28 batters against lefties this year. His slugging splits are fairly even, and he might be the second-best hitter in the lineup over the last two weeks, with two homers. It's a lefty-lefty matchup with a lot of value.
SD
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:40 PM ET
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Sal Stewart is a pure form play with four homers and a .500 ISO over his last six games. His 60% fly-ball rate and 25% barrel rate give him real lift, and King’s recent air-contact profile plus San Diego’s bullpen HR/9 create enough paths to leave the yard.
u9.5 (-131)
The Under 9.5 still has value because the number gives some breathing room. Cincinnati is producing lately, but King is a difficult matchup, and San Diego’s bullpen owns a 3.17 xERA over the last week with minimal homer damage. The Padres may not explode offensively either.
MIA
@
WAS
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:45 PM ET
Will Dion o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-113)
It's that time of the baseball season when it's tough for the books to project pitchers with serious question marks, and that includes Will Dion. Dion is a lefty who has been pitching in a bulk-relief role and has yet to start a game this year. He got up to 56 pitches in his last appearance, so 70 pitches is on the table today. He currently projects for 3.71 Ks on just 65 pitches, leaving plenty of room for him to outperform that projection. The Washington starter just had four strikeouts against the Marlins two games ago on just 48 pitches and nine total outs. He's better than a K-per-inning pitcher and struck out seven batters on 64 pitches earlier this month, so those alt Overs are well within his range of outcomes today. With a slight chance of rain (23%), though, I'll stick with the main-market Over. The fair price on a 70-pitch leash is -135.
Ryan Gusto o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+119)
The Washington Nationals find themselves in a great bounce-back spot against Miami Marlins right-hander Ryan Gusto, who has been solid over his last few starts but has some telling underlying metrics the Nationals should be able to exploit. Despite Gusto's 1.26 ERA over his last three starts, he owns a 4.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate of nearly 44%. In his last three road starts, he is allowing a 46% hard-hit rate, 10.8% barrel rate, 32.4% elevation rate and 2.13 HR/9. Meanwhile, the Nationals have posted a strikeout rate under 20%, wRC+ above 100 and walk rate north of 10% over their last six games. Take this down to +110.
SEA
@
BOS
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:45 PM ET
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Julio Rodriguez has loud underlying power metrics despite only one recent homer. His 20% barrel rate, 46.7% hard-hit rate, and 46.7% air-contact profile match well with Tolle’s fly-ball tendencies at Fenway. Boston’s bullpen also gives Rodriguez another late path.
o7.5 (-107)
The Over 7.5 is playable because Kirby has shown recent vulnerability and both bullpens have shaky profiles. Boston’s relief corps has allowed home run damage lately, while Seattle’s pen owns a 4.60 xERA over the last week. The low number makes this attackable.
MIL
@
CHC
Mon, Aug 31 • 7:40 PM ET
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Suzuki boasts an elite .239 ISO against lefties, and Giants starter Kyle Harrison has allowed a healthy .518 slugging percentage and .370 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the highway. Additionally, Suzuki has already taken Harrison deep this season on June 27.
u9.5 (-107)
Milwaukee lefty Kyle Harrison sports a high-end 3.08 xFIP and 3.23 xERA, and I'm anticipating him holding the Chicago lineup largely in check. Similarly, Cubbies starter Clay Holmes sports the highest ground-ball rate among pitchers with at least 75 innings while also ranking seventh in poor-contact percentage. As a result, I’m not anticipating the Brewers putting big numbers on the board, either.
DET
@
MIN
Mon, Aug 31 • 7:40 PM ET
ATH
@
TEX
Mon, Aug 31 • 8:05 PM ET
Jake Burger o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-107)
Running it back with the Burger man after he cashed on an RBI single with a .105 xBA before following it up with a 369-foot flyout to the warning track. The Texas Rangers slugger has been making a ton of hard contact and barreling the ball. In his last 10 games, Burger owns a .648 xSLG and .250 ISO, with a 50% hard-hit rate and 22.7% barrel rate. He now draws Athletics left-hander Gage Jump, whose last 60 right-handed hitters have a .328 xBA, .515 xSLG and .204 ISO. Burger has also been crushing left-handed pitching, posting a .714 SLG, 1.047 OPS and .428 ISO over his last 30 at-bats. With his recent contact quality and a week since his last home run, Burger feels due to go deep tonight.
TEX (-219)
Texas has the cleanest profile on the slate with Jacob deGrom giving the Rangers real stability. He has limited hard contact lately, while the lineup owns a ridiculous 141 wRC+ over its last six games. Even if Gage Jump competes, Texas has the stronger full-game edge.
CHW
@
HOU
Mon, Aug 31 • 8:10 PM ET
BAL
@
COL
Mon, Aug 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Tanner Gordon u15.5 Outs Recorded (-114)
Tanner Gordon would rather not pitch at home, as his ERA is more than five points higher at altitude than on the road. He was recently moved back into a starter role after losing it and threw his second-highest pitch total of the season at 90 in his last turn. This is a pitcher who hasn't consistently been given a 90-pitch leash as a starter. He's 5-2 to the Under on this number as a starter and has gone 75, 74, 94, and 82 pitches in his four home starts this year. His bullpen is also fresh, with just one arm used yesterday. The Orioles are a Top-10 slugging team over the last two weeks and could easily send a fringe starter like Gordon to the showers early. The projection is 83 pitches and 14.76 outs, giving us plenty of room to attack this Under.
NYY
@
LAA
Mon, Aug 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
u8.5 (-120)
The Los Angeles Angels are hitting .214 against righties in August and have produced very little power.
Walbert Urena’s 87th percentile ranking in barrel rate sets him up well to limit New York's power, and the Angels have a sneaky-good bullpen backing him up.
Play to 56%.
PHI
@
AZ
Mon, Aug 31 • 9:40 PM ET
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Aaron Nola relies most heavily on the knuckle curve, also throwing fastballs and changeups at a healthy rate.
Corbin Carroll has a .300 ISO and 50% hard hit rate against the knuckle curve – albeit over a small sample – and ISOs above .230 facing the other two pitches.
u8.5 (-112)
Brandon Pfaadt allowed hard contact just 27.3% of the time over the past 30 days. He also posted a 4.3% barrel rate, both of which rank him second among today’s starting pitchers.
While Aaron Nola has benefited from a soft schedule, he has taken full advantage with a 3.14 SIERA his past five starts.
The pitching should be good, making the Under an appealing buy to 55%.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
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This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
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