Miami @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #6 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Because of Darren McCaughan's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Alejandro Kirk has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

The #6 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Darren McCaughan will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering McCaughan's large platoon split. George Springer's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 87.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 81.1-mph in the last two weeks. George Springer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 40.2% on the season to 30.8% over the last two weeks.

The #6 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will bat from his weak side against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 86-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.8-mph over the last 7 days.

The #6 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Considering Darren McCaughan's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94.9-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 88.5-mph in the past week. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 32.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.7%.

The #6 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nathan Lukes's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.5-mph in the past week's worth of games. Nathan Lukes's launch angle recently (4.4° in the past week) is considerably worse than his 11.1° seasonal angle. Nathan Lukes has been cold recently, putting up a 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Dane Myers has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), checking in at the 78th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Ranking in the 82nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec this year, Dane Myers is quite fast.

Javier Sanoja's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.69 ft/sec this year, Javier Sanoja is remarkably fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Leo Jimenez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Leo Jimenez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 BA is considerably lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Because of Darren McCaughan's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Stowers has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .259 mark is quite a bit lower than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Jesus Sanchez has been very consistent with his of late, compiling a 31.8° launch angle standard deviation over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Connor Norby has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week. Connor Norby has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 95.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Ernie Clement has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.4-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.8° mark in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 25%. Davis Schneider has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. In the last week's worth of games, Jake Burger's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 7.1%. Over the past two weeks, Jake Burger's 35.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Over the past 7 days, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 13.3%. Jonah Bride has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph mark. Jonah Bride's launch angle in recent games (20.5° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 11.5° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Darren McCaughan in today's game... and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Addison Barger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Darren McCaughan in today's matchup... and even better, McCaughan has a large platoon split. Addison Barger is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage today. Addison Barger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 17.7% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Griffin Conine will hold the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Griffin Conine hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Griffin Conine's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 16.7%. In the past 7 days, Griffin Conine's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 100.9-mph over the course of the season to 103.6-mph in recent games. Griffin Conine's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 40.9% on the season to 83.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Vidal Brujan has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.