Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today's matchup.

Richie Palacios is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Richie Palacios is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the past 7 days — 114.9-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Romy Gonzalez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph in recent games.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Nick Sogard's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2% up to 7.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°.

Vaughn Grissom's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vaughn Grissom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Logan Driscoll will have an advantage in today's game. Logan Driscoll is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Trevor Story has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Posting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.