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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+135 
|
o6.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -179 
|
|
3.96 |
-145
|
u6.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +152
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Guardians last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Anthony Kay o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+116 
|
o7.0 -109 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.18 |
-129
|
u7.5 -134
|
-1.5 +165
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 Divisional Playoff games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in Pivettas last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in Pivettas last 6 starts on grass.
- Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
CHW
@
CLE
Mon, Oct 5 • 5:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+460)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I’m not getting off the Munetaka Murakami train Monday against Gavin Williams. The White Sox-Guardians series is not going to be high-scoring, but the runs that do cross the plate are more than likely coming via the long ball. The Sox won Game 1 3-0, but two of those runs came on a Murakami home run. Williams is a great pitcher who slipped a little in the second half, but he also gives up homers at a higher rate than you might assume. Only five other pitchers this season allowed more home runs than the Cleveland starter’s 28 over 184 innings. If I’m backing one bat in this outdoor game, it’s the Japanese slugger who might be becoming a lot of people’s favorite MLB player.
Total Hits
Sam Antonacci o0.5 Total Hits (-170)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Sam Antonacci is the final player I’m targeting for a hit, and I like him to 65%.
He hit .359 against right-handed pitching over the final month of the season. It wasn’t smoke and mirrors, either. His xBA was actually higher at .363.
He consistently made quality contact, leading the White Sox with a 26.2% line drive rate.
NYY
@
TB
Mon, Oct 5 • 8:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+373)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler is coming off a massive 117-pitch outing in his last start and isn’t working on any extra rest. I love targeting pitchers coming off season-high workloads, and I get that chance Monday night. Junior Caminero has seen Schlittler the most of all Rays hitters and is one of just two Tampa bats to take him deep. He’s 21% to go deep, which is one of his longest prices of the year, and there is value today with Schlittler coming off that massive workload. I’m pushing this to a fair probability of 23%. The indoor setting only helps.
Total Home Runs
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+490)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Yankees got just one hit in their series opener but have a much better homer matchup in Game 2 against Freddy Peralta. The Tampa starter was on a heater before the postseason, earning Pitcher of the Month honors for September, but before that hot run, he was a below-average pitcher who allowed 22 home runs over 135 innings. It’s a tale of two Peraltas, and I’ll trade against him being a sub-1.00 ERA pitcher. Lefties have taken Peralta deep at a higher rate this year, and Luis Garcia, at 16%, is the target I’d trade to 18%. Garcia has seen Peralta the second-most of any Yankee starter and has already gone deep in the postseason. I would prefer an indoor home run today, as the hitting conditions in Cleveland aren’t ideal. I’m hoping the rest has turned Peralta back into the pitcher he was for the first 75% of the season.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
