Bally Sports Network, NESN

Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.8-mph in the past 14 days.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Quinn Priester will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Richie Palacios is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Richie Palacios is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Richie Palacios is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

D. Carlson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot today.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Mickey Gasper Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Gasper
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage today.

Mickey Gasper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the past 7 days — 114.9-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB over the past 7 days — 114.9-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Morel
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Romy Gonzalez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph in recent games.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Romy Gonzalez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Romy Gonzalez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph in recent games.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

N. Sogard
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Nick Sogard's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2% up to 7.1%.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Nick Sogard's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2% up to 7.1%.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 34.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Masataka Yoshida hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Vaughn Grissom's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vaughn Grissom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Vaughn Grissom's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vaughn Grissom has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vaughn Grissom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Logan Driscoll Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Driscoll
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Logan Driscoll will have an advantage in today's game. Logan Driscoll is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Logan Driscoll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Logan Driscoll will have an advantage in today's game. Logan Driscoll is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Trevor Story has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Trevor Story has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Posting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. Posting a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Walls has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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