NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 15% seasonal rate has decreased to 5.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today. Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 15% seasonal rate has decreased to 5.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Fermin
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Fermin has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.21 ft/sec to 28.95 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jose Fermin has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.21 ft/sec to 28.95 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Grant McCray Total Hits Props • San Francisco

G. McCray
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Grant McCray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Grant McCray

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Grant McCray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the past week, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph in recent games. Paul Goldschmidt's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 92nd percentile this year.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the past week, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph in recent games. Paul Goldschmidt's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 92nd percentile this year.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy today.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 33.3%.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Tyler Fitzgerald's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 33.3%.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand today.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand today.

Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Wisely
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brett Wisely

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jerar Encarnacion Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Encarnacion
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Jerar Encarnacion's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jerar Encarnacion is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jerar Encarnacion has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Jerar Encarnacion

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jerar Encarnacion's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jerar Encarnacion is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jerar Encarnacion has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oracle Park grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 38.5% in the past 7 days. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Nolan Arenado sports a .268 batting average this year.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Oracle Park grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.9% on the season to 38.5% in the past 7 days. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Nolan Arenado sports a .268 batting average this year.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jordan Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph mark.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jordan Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph mark.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oracle Park grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masyn Winn has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 88.1-mph. With a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn grades out in the 86th percentile.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oracle Park grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Masyn Winn has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days. Masyn Winn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 90.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 88.1-mph. With a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Masyn Winn grades out in the 86th percentile.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Matt Carpenter has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In the league, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 5.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the last week, Pedro Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 14.3%. Pedro Pages has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the last week, Pedro Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 14.3%. Pedro Pages has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.

Curt Casali Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Casali
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Curt Casali will hold that advantage today. Curt Casali has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.42 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

Curt Casali

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Curt Casali will hold that advantage today. Curt Casali has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.42 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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