Baltimore @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge in today's game. Jordan Westburg pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Westburg in today's game. Jordan Westburg's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will not have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle's launch angle recently (-1.7° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably lower than his 10.5° seasonal figure.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Today, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (84th percentile). Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 3.2% over the last 14 days. In the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the majors. Hitting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Carlos Correa has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Carlos Correa has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 87.3-mph in the past 14 days. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (1.6° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 8.6° seasonal angle. Carlos Correa has been lucky this year, posting a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .041 deviation.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Edouard Julien will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage in today's game. Manuel Margot's launch angle this year (13.6°) is a significant increase over his 10.6° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adley Rutschman's launch angle this season (18.8°) is a significant increase over his 12.5° angle last year.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Christian Vazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Christian Vazquez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.4-mph average to last season's 86.4-mph EV. Christian Vazquez's launch angle this season (16.2°) is quite a bit better than his 9.6° angle last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Willi Castro's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Ober in today's matchup.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. Cedric Mullins is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 90.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Carlos Santana has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. This matchup is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 28.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 14°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sporting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Anthony Santander is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) provides evidence that James McCann has experienced some negative variance this year with his .238 actual batting average. James McCann grades out in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.9% rate this year).

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Extreme groundball hitters like Ramon Urias are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph. Ramon Urias's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (25.8° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 14° seasonal angle.

Austin Martin has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Brooks Lee has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Farmer has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.