Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Bryan Reynolds has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days. Bryan Reynolds has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 94-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today. With a .351 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Oneil Cruz has performed in the 88th percentile for hitting ability. Oneil Cruz has compiled a .267 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Juan Soto has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 20.1% this year.

Liover Peguero is remarkably fast, placing in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.34 ft/sec since the start of last season. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Liover Peguero sits with a .312 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Jasson Dominguez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week. Over the past two weeks, Jasson Dominguez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 104.9-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jared Triolo has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 17.4% on the season to 26.1% over the past two weeks.

Joshua Palacios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Joshua Palacios will have an advantage in today's game.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 27.1% seasonal rate to 38.1% in the last 14 days.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Oswaldo Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 37.3% to 43.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Andrew McCutchen has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 12.1% this year. Andrew McCutchen's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (20.9° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 15.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nick Yorke has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Nick Yorke has displayed impressive power, recording a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power). In the last week's worth of games, Nick Yorke has averaged an impressive 101.3-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential. In the last week, Nick Yorke's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Trevino's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.1-mph now compared to just 85.8-mph then. By putting up a 2.02 K/BB rate this year, Jose Trevino has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. This year, Trent Grisham's 12% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers. Trent Grisham's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 76th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 90-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In the last 14 days, Joey Bart has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°. By putting up a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Joey Bart grades out in the 88th percentile. Sporting a .313 BABIP this year, Joey Bart finds himself in the 76th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.8% rate last season to 21.2% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jon Berti is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jon Berti will have an edge in today's matchup. Jon Berti has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (45.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jon Berti will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bryan De La Cruz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.