Golden State 6th Western Conference44-38
Sacramento 3rd Western Conference48-34

Golden State @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has scored 15.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 80th percentile. Harrison Barnes has attempted 4.3 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Harrison Barnes has scored 15.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 80th percentile. Harrison Barnes has attempted 4.3 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has converted an impressive 4.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.5 rate last season. Klay Thompson has tallied 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Klay Thompson has converted an impressive 4.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.5 rate last season. Klay Thompson has tallied 32.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Warriors have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Warriors have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

This matchup is a strong one for field goals; when the Kings are at home, the other team have posted the highest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (50.6%). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Kings are at home, opposing teams have attempted a massive 26.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA). Jordan Poole will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Jordan Poole

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

This matchup is a strong one for field goals; when the Kings are at home, the other team have posted the highest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (50.6%). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Kings are at home, opposing teams have attempted a massive 26.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA). Jordan Poole will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has converted 54.3% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Draymond Green has averaged 30.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 25 games (19.0). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Draymond Green has converted 54.3% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Draymond Green has averaged 30.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 25 games (19.0). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.

Alex Len Points Scored Props • Sacramento

A. Len
center C • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

Alex Len has averaged a mere 1.6 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.0 points per game last year. Alex Len has sunk a mere 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, a significant dropoff from his 23.5 rate last year. Alex Len has averaged a lowly 5.0 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 15.4 minutes per game last year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Warriors have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Alex Len

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Alex Len has averaged a mere 1.6 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.0 points per game last year. Alex Len has sunk a mere 0.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, a significant dropoff from his 23.5 rate last year. Alex Len has averaged a lowly 5.0 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 15.4 minutes per game last year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The Warriors have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (90th percentile). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against the Kings may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA). Stephen Curry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Stephen Curry has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (90th percentile). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. The matchup against the Kings may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA). Stephen Curry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance for all stats.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has averaged 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). At home, the Kings have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevon Looney

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Kevon Looney has averaged 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). At home, the Kings have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. Donte DiVincenzo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throw attempts per game. Donte DiVincenzo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has played 23.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 6.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings. Trey Lyles has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Trey Lyles has played 23.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 6.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season at home. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings. Trey Lyles has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has converted 58.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Davion Mitchell has converted 58.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.

Terence Davis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Davis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Terence Davis has converted 47.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings. Terence Davis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Terence Davis

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Terence Davis has converted 47.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings. Terence Davis has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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