Final Dec 22
HOU 114 -9.0 o222.5
TOR 110 9.0 u222.5
Final Dec 22
IND 122 3.0 o234.5
SAC 95 -3.0 u234.5
Final OT Dec 22
DEN 132 -8.5 o231.0
NO 129 8.5 u231.0
Phoenix 4th Western Conference45-37
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
NBALP, TNT

Phoenix @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (14.2). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 22.1 foul shot attempts per game.

Devin Booker

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (14.2). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 22.1 foul shot attempts per game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for field goals; when the Suns are on the road, opposing starting Cs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (51.4%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for field goals; when the Suns are on the road, opposing starting Cs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (51.4%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 54.0% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Suns may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA). Aaron Gordon will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 54.0% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Suns may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA). Aaron Gordon will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Kevin Durant has attempted a mere 18.2 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit less than his 20.2 rate last season. Kevin Durant has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Kevin Durant has attempted a mere 18.2 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit less than his 20.2 rate last season. Kevin Durant has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile). The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.3). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns.

Torrey Craig Points Scored Props • Phoenix

T. Craig
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-132
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-132
Projection Rating

Torrey Craig has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Torrey Craig

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Torrey Craig has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for overall this season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Suns. The Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Okogie Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Okogie
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Josh Okogie has sunk a terrific 2.2 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.8 rate last year. Josh Okogie has attempted 3.9 treys per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Josh Okogie has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 7.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Okogie has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Josh Okogie

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Josh Okogie has sunk a terrific 2.2 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.8 rate last year. Josh Okogie has attempted 3.9 treys per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Josh Okogie has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 15 games away from home, 7.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Josh Okogie has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Biyombo
center C • Phoenix
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo has made 77.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home. This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, their opposition have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.4%). The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.2

Bismack Biyombo has made 77.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home. This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, their opposition have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.4%). The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has posted 29.2 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.6 higher than he's posted overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has attempted 9.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Jamal Murray has played 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.4%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Jamal Murray has posted 29.2 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.6 higher than he's posted overall this year at home. Jamal Murray has attempted 9.9 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Jamal Murray has played 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.4%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Green
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Suns may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA). Jeff Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Jeff Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Suns may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA). Jeff Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Phoenix

C. Paul
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Chris Paul has attempted 14.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Chris Paul has made 2.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Chris Paul has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are on their home court (23rd-most in the NBA).

Chris Paul

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Chris Paul has attempted 14.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Chris Paul has made 2.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Chris Paul has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are on their home court (23rd-most in the NBA).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Denver

B. Brown
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.4%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are away from home (30th-most in the league). Bruce Brown will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (36.4%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has attempted 4.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are away from home (30th-most in the league). Bruce Brown will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Ayton
center C • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 7.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 7.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic