Denver @ Phoenix Picks & Props

Cameron Payne has successfully made 40.0% of his three-point attempts at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's sunk overall this season. Cameron Payne will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (87th percentile). The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting Cs have compiled the 13th-lowest FG% in the league this year (54.5%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road. The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.7). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Suns. When playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 21.9 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.7). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Suns. When playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been bad at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 21.9 free throw attempts per game.

Aaron Gordon has made 57.0% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are at home (29th-most in the NBA).

Torrey Craig has made 58.1% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 18.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year on his home court. Torrey Craig has tallied an impressive 24.0 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 18.6 minutes per game last season. Torrey Craig has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Torrey Craig will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improves stat production in all stat categories.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Suns are at home (29th-most in the NBA).

Deandre Ayton has converted 58.9% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for threes; when the Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have compiled the 26th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (38.6%). The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Deandre Ayton has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season playing at home. Deandre Ayton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance across the board.

Josh Okogie has made 1.7 threes per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year at home. Josh Okogie has averaged 26.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 8.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Josh Okogie has made 93.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Josh Okogie will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Bruce Brown has attempted 3.1 threes per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.5 mark last season. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league this year. Bruce Brown has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Jamal Murray has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Damion Lee has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Christian Braun has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has gone over 14.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.