LIVE 09:16 1st Nov 24
MIN 52 8.0 o222.0
BOS 55 -8.0 u222.0
WAS 12.0 o240.5
IND -12.0 u240.5
LAC -1.5 o210.5
PHI 1.5 u210.5
DAL 2.5 o221.5
MIA -2.5 u221.5
TOR 11.5 o234.5
CLE -11.5 u234.5
BK 9.5 o224.0
SAC -9.5 u224.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
San Antonio 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE22-60
NBALP

Minnesota @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach Collins Points Scored Props • San Antonio

Z. Collins
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Zach Collins has successfully made 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Zach Collins has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year on the road. Zach Collins has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.

Zach Collins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Zach Collins has successfully made 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home. Zach Collins has sunk 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year on the road. Zach Collins has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 90th percentile for shots from the field on the road, compiling 14.7 per game since the start of last season. Victor Wembanyama has attempted 5.1 3-pointers per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 28.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are at home, opposing teams have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them since the start of last season (46.7%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 90th percentile for shots from the field on the road, compiling 14.7 per game since the start of last season. Victor Wembanyama has attempted 5.1 3-pointers per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 28.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are at home, opposing teams have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them since the start of last season (46.7%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Under
-110

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly less than his 6.5 rate last season. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. At home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 5.2 mark, Keldon Johnson's number of foul shot attempts has been reduced this year to 2.5 foul shot attempts per game. This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a colossal 25.2 free throws per game since the start of last season (5th-most in the league).

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly less than his 6.5 rate last season. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. At home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 5.2 mark, Keldon Johnson's number of foul shot attempts has been reduced this year to 2.5 foul shot attempts per game. This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a colossal 25.2 free throws per game since the start of last season (5th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 76th percentile for field goal performance away from his home court with a a phenomenal 50.7% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 86th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on the road with a a terrific 38.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 76th percentile for field goal performance away from his home court with a a phenomenal 50.7% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 86th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on the road with a a terrific 38.1% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has converted 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has tallied 29.7 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league since the start of last season (48.7%). The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Mike Conley has converted 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has tallied 29.7 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a good one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league since the start of last season (48.7%). The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Under
-102

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season. This matchup is a good one for scoring; their opposition has posted the 2nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.6%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. Karl-Anthony Towns will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season. This matchup is a good one for scoring; their opposition has posted the 2nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (50.6%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. Karl-Anthony Towns will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-112

Relative to last year's 45.1% mark, Jeremy Sochan's shooting proficiency has tailed off this year to 37.1%. In contrast to last year's 23.1% mark, Jeremy Sochan's 3-point efficiency has dropped this year to 14.3%. Compared to last year's 2.5 rate, Jeremy Sochan's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 3.4. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. At home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Relative to last year's 45.1% mark, Jeremy Sochan's shooting proficiency has tailed off this year to 37.1%. In contrast to last year's 23.1% mark, Jeremy Sochan's 3-point efficiency has dropped this year to 14.3%. Compared to last year's 2.5 rate, Jeremy Sochan's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 3.4. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year. At home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
+100

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 4th percentile for three-point prowess when playing on the road with a a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. Rudy Gobert ought to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert lands in the 4th percentile for three-point prowess when playing on the road with a a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season. Rudy Gobert ought to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Anthony Edwards has converted 57.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.4% more than he's converted in all games this year while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers drained on the road, averaging 2.6 per game since the start of last season. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (42.5%).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Anthony Edwards has converted 57.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.4% more than he's converted in all games this year while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards places in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers drained on the road, averaging 2.6 per game since the start of last season. Anthony Edwards has tallied 34.8 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 116.4 points per game while on their home court comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a favorable one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (42.5%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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