Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36

Golden State @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production for all stats.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Trey Lyles will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production for all stats.

Chris Duarte Points Scored Props • Sacramento

C. Duarte
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Duarte should get a boost in production in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Chris Duarte

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Duarte should get a boost in production in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Draymond Green has successfully made a terrific 38.1% of his 3-point attempts this season, significantly higher than his 27.9 rate last season. Draymond Green has tallied a terrific 25.0 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 30.5 minutes per game last year. Draymond Green has tallied a lowly 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.3 fouls per game last season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 17.0 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Kings, making this a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Draymond Green has successfully made a terrific 38.1% of his 3-point attempts this season, significantly higher than his 27.9 rate last season. Draymond Green has tallied a terrific 25.0 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 30.5 minutes per game last year. Draymond Green has tallied a lowly 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.3 fouls per game last season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 17.0 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Kings, making this a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
+100

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul comes in at the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.3 fouls per game while at home this year. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 80.6% rate, Chris Paul's free-throw proficiency has spiked this season to 92.9%.

Chris Paul

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul comes in at the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 1.3 fouls per game while at home this year. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 80.6% rate, Chris Paul's free-throw proficiency has spiked this season to 92.9%.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have registered 16.6 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have registered 16.6 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home this year. This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up the 10th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (36.8%). The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (14.7). This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Stephen Curry will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance across the board.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home this year. This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, opposing squads have put up the 10th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (36.8%). The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (14.7). This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Stephen Curry will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance across the board.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has successfully made a whopping 40.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 31.8 rate last year. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk has made a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.1 mark last season.

Malik Monk

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Malik Monk has successfully made a whopping 40.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, significantly higher than his 31.8 rate last year. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team. The Warriors have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Monk has made a whopping 5.0 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.1 mark last season.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-130

Relative to last year's 16.9 clip, Kevin Huerter's points per game have spiked this year to 15.4. Relative to last year's 3.1 clip, Kevin Huerter's 3-pointers hit have increased this year to 3.4 per game. Kevin Huerter has been on the court for a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.8 minutes per game last season. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Relative to last year's 16.9 clip, Kevin Huerter's points per game have spiked this year to 15.4. Relative to last year's 3.1 clip, Kevin Huerter's 3-pointers hit have increased this year to 3.4 per game. Kevin Huerter has been on the court for a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.8 minutes per game last season. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has converted a mere 5.3 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 7.7 mark last year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.8). The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Klay Thompson has converted a mere 5.3 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 7.7 mark last year. The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (19.8). The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
+100

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In comparison to last season's 4.2 rate, Harrison Barnes's free throws drained have declined this season to 2.4 per game.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In comparison to last season's 4.2 rate, Harrison Barnes's free throws drained have declined this season to 2.4 per game.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 6.2 rate, Dario Saric's points per game have spiked this season to 10.8. Dario Saric has converted an impressive 1.7 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 rate last year. Dario Saric has played a terrific 21.4 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 13.6 minutes per game last year. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Dario Saric

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

In comparison to last season's 6.2 rate, Dario Saric's points per game have spiked this season to 10.8. Dario Saric has converted an impressive 1.7 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 rate last year. Dario Saric has played a terrific 21.4 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 13.6 minutes per game last year. The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings). The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

Domantas Sabonis has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In contrast to last season's 73.9% rate, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot prowess has tailed off this season to 59.9%.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Domantas Sabonis has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In contrast to last season's 73.9% rate, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot prowess has tailed off this season to 59.9%.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Kings are at home (13th-least in the league). Kevon Looney will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance for all stats.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Kevon Looney has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA at home this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Kings are at home (13th-least in the league). Kevon Looney will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance for all stats.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

In contrast to last year's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots from the field have risen this year to 22.3 per game. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 mark last year. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 21.1 points per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

In contrast to last year's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots from the field have risen this year to 22.3 per game. De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 mark last year. De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Kings's terrific 120.8 points per game ranks 6th-best in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 21.1 points per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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