Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN, NBALP

Dallas @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds
Over
-115

Zion Williamson has sunk 9.6 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Zion Williamson has played 32.6 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Zion Williamson has made 70.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 14 games, 29.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31

Zion Williamson has sunk 9.6 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. Zion Williamson has played 32.6 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Zion Williamson has made 70.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 14 games, 29.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk an impressive 3.4 baskets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.7 rate last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.9 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 1.3 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 0.8. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk an impressive 3.4 baskets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.7 rate last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.9 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 1.3 clip, Derrick Jones Jr.'s personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 0.8. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Jordan Hawkins Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Hawkins
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jordan Hawkins has successfully made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Jordan Hawkins has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game. Jordan Hawkins will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Jordan Hawkins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Jordan Hawkins has successfully made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Jordan Hawkins has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game. Jordan Hawkins will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-108

Brandon Ingram has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus opportunities for offense). This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.3 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Brandon Ingram has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pelicans. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus opportunities for offense). This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.3 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dwight Powell has made a whopping 84.4% of his field goal attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 73.5 mark last season. Compared to last season's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's 3-point proficiency has risen this season to 100.0%. In contrast to last year's 2.8 clip, Dwight Powell's personal fouls per game have regressed this year to 1.8. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 31.1% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Dwight Powell has made a whopping 84.4% of his field goal attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 73.5 mark last season. Compared to last season's 0.0% rate, Dwight Powell's 3-point proficiency has risen this season to 100.0%. In contrast to last year's 2.8 clip, Dwight Powell's personal fouls per game have regressed this year to 1.8. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 31.1% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.1 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.8 rate last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has accumulated a measly 0.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 1.7 fouls per game last season. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 31.1% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.1 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.8 rate last season. Tim Hardaway Jr. has accumulated a measly 0.7 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 1.7 fouls per game last season. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. This year when they are at home, opposing teams have averaged 31.1% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, creating a challenging matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Kyrie Irving has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 14.8 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Kyrie Irving has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 14.8 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 7.8 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 rate last year. Luka Doncic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production across the board.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.9

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Luka Doncic has attempted a lowly 7.8 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.5 rate last year. Luka Doncic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production across the board.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has averaged 32.0% on threes (4th-weakest in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made a terrific 91.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 85.0 mark last year. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game. Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has averaged 32.0% on threes (4th-weakest in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made a terrific 91.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 85.0 mark last year. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game. Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-114

In contrast to last season's 2.3 clip, Grant Williams's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.1. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Grant Williams is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

In contrast to last season's 2.3 clip, Grant Williams's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.1. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league while at home with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team has brought down 18.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense). Grant Williams is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 77th percentile for shooting performance with a an exceptional 54.6% rate this year. Herbert Jones has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile. This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team has totaled the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.1). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Herbert Jones has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 10.0% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones registers in the 77th percentile for shooting performance with a an exceptional 54.6% rate this year. Herbert Jones has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile. This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team has totaled the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.1). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Herbert Jones has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 10.0% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • New Orleans

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dyson Daniels has successfully made a terrific 49.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 rate last year. Dyson Daniels has attempted 2.6 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 mark last year. Dyson Daniels has averaged a terrific 24.9 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 17.2 minutes per game last year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. In comparison to last year's 0.7 clip, Dyson Daniels's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this year to 1.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Dyson Daniels has successfully made a terrific 49.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 36.8 rate last year. Dyson Daniels has attempted 2.6 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 mark last year. Dyson Daniels has averaged a terrific 24.9 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 17.2 minutes per game last year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. In comparison to last year's 0.7 clip, Dyson Daniels's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this year to 1.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 92nd percentile for field goal performance with a a terrific 71.0% rate this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 92nd percentile for field goal performance with a a terrific 71.0% rate this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 122.8 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk a terrific 50.0% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly more than his 33.0 rate last season. This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team has totaled the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.1). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 72.7 mark last year. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game.

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.7

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk a terrific 50.0% of his 3-point shots this season, significantly more than his 33.0 rate last season. This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team has totaled the 9th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.1). The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Pelicans. Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 72.7 mark last year. As a team, the Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line with the home court advantage: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 24.4 free throw attempts per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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