Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBALP, NBCSCA, AZ Family

Phoenix @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-130

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 0.9 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Keegan Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 0.9 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-128

Harrison Barnes has converted 62.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Harrison Barnes has tallied 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for threes; when the Suns are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 23rd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Harrison Barnes has converted 62.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Harrison Barnes has tallied 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for threes; when the Suns are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 23rd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.7 threes per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Eric Gordon ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Eric Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.7 threes per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Eric Gordon ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have registered 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's poor 111.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Kevin Durant stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.1
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.1

As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's poor 111.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Kevin Durant stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Devin Booker has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's poor 111.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot 30.6% on threes (7th-weakest in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a difficult matchup. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year. Devin Booker stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Devin Booker

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.2

Devin Booker has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year. As it relates to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's poor 111.0 points per game settles in as the 5th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have shot 30.6% on threes (7th-weakest in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a difficult matchup. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year. Devin Booker stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has successfully made 35.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA. Trey Lyles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Suns are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.1 foul shots per game over the last 8 games (10th-most in the league).

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Trey Lyles has successfully made 35.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA. Trey Lyles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Suns are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.1 foul shots per game over the last 8 games (10th-most in the league).

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Drew Eubanks has converted an impressive 100.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 35.4 rate last season. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Drew Eubanks has converted an impressive 100.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 35.4 rate last season. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-114

Out of all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen lands in the 86th percentile for three-point shots drained, compiling 2.2 per game this year. Grayson Allen has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen lands in the 86th percentile for three-point shots drained, compiling 2.2 per game this year. Grayson Allen has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The Suns have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter has attempted 5.9 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to draw fouls. Kevin Huerter will likely see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Kevin Huerter has attempted 5.9 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to draw fouls. Kevin Huerter will likely see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Domantas Sabonis has made 7.0 shots made from the field per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Domantas Sabonis has made 7.0 shots made from the field per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 21.8 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 18.7 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.9 minutes per game this year. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. De'Aaron Fox has made a terrific 5.9 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.7 rate last season.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.9

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 21.8 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 18.7 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.9 minutes per game this year. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. De'Aaron Fox has made a terrific 5.9 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.7 rate last season.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are at home, opposing squads have tallied 11.1 threes per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk registers in the 84th percentile for free-throw ability at home with a an exceptional 92.4% rate this year.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Malik Monk has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. This year when they are at home, opposing squads have tallied 11.1 threes per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 7th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 10.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 14 games. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk registers in the 84th percentile for free-throw ability at home with a an exceptional 92.4% rate this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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