Orlando @ Sacramento Picks & Props

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have registered 119.4 points per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Magic grade out 7thworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe. Moritz Wagner will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.1 fouls per game when playing at home this year. The matchup with Goga Bitadze slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs sinking only 0.3 treys per game this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Domantas Sabonis has made a measly 60.3% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 73.9 mark last season. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Goga Bitadze has been very low this year (2.5 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile).

The Magic have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The Orlando Magic will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Magic's impressive 27.4 free throws per game as the away team settles in as the best in the NBA this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter slots into the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 5.4 per game this year. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Orlando Magic). This year, opposing clubs have snagged 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 40.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged a mere 2.0 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.8 fouls per game last year. The Magic have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The Orlando Magic will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes has made 49.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season with the home court advantage. Harrison Barnes has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Kings have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have scored 18.9 points per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Magic, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

The matchup against Orlando is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Magic are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game this year when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team (13th-least in the league).

This matchup is a good one for three-point shots; opposing teams have posted the 10th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (37.9%). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, opposing squads have attempted 24.4 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Orlando Magic, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged 37.5% on threes (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a positive matchup. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one for shots from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 8.5 shots made from the field per game (7th percentile). Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Magic grade out 7thworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game (14th percentile). Goga Bitadze will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

This year, opposing starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Magic have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The Orlando Magic will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace home offense in the league this year (the Kings). The Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Gary Harris has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing away from home.

Trey Lyles has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.