New Orleans 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
BSN, NBCSCA, Sportsnet

New Orleans @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Trey Murphy III will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Trey Murphy III will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Under
+114

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 14th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, logging 0.4 per game this year. The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Zion Williamson will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Zion Williamson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson registers in the 14th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, logging 0.4 per game this year. The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Zion Williamson will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year. The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Compared to last season's 73.9% mark, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot performance has tailed off this season to 60.7%.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year. The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). Compared to last season's 73.9% mark, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot performance has tailed off this season to 60.7%.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Kevin Huerter has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.3% more than he's made in all games this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Kevin Huerter has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.3% more than he's made in all games this year. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting squad (4th-least in the NBA).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.8
Best Odds
Under
+110

The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.8

The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 72.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 7.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. Larry Nance Jr. has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 72.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 7.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. Larry Nance Jr. has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged 39.7% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (1.0 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged 39.7% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (1.0 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-124

Harrison Barnes has sunk 53.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 12.6% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Harrison Barnes has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Harrison Barnes has sunk 53.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 12.6% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Harrison Barnes has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

CJ McCollum has converted 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

CJ McCollum has converted 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has converted 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Malik Monk has converted 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Malik Monk has converted 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Malik Monk has converted 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Brandon Ingram has converted 49.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Brandon Ingram has converted 49.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.7% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Brandon Ingram has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Pelicans will likely see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Sacramento Kings). The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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