New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
BSN

New Orleans @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

Kyrie Irving has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

Kyrie Irving has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell registers in the 98th percentile for three-point efficiency with a a great 50.0% rate this year. Dwight Powell has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's played overall this season. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dwight Powell

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6

Out of all players in the NBA, Dwight Powell registers in the 98th percentile for three-point efficiency with a a great 50.0% rate this year. Dwight Powell has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's played overall this season. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field made, compiling a whopping 8.1 per game this year. Brandon Ingram has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Ingram ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field made, compiling a whopping 8.1 per game this year. Brandon Ingram has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

CJ McCollum has made 3.5 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

CJ McCollum has made 3.5 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-134

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. In regard to three-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. In regard to three-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. While playing at home, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a hard matchup. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans). Josh Green has converted just 62.5% of his foul shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 70.6 rate last year.

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a hard matchup. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans). Josh Green has converted just 62.5% of his foul shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 70.6 rate last year.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; their opposition has totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (39.0). The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Grant Williams

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games. This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; their opposition has totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (39.0). The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

Larry Nance Jr. Points Scored Props • New Orleans

L. Nance Jr.
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 71.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Larry Nance Jr. has converted 70.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 22.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (35.1%). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Larry Nance Jr.

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.4

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 71.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Larry Nance Jr. has converted 70.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 22.5% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (35.1%). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a strong matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 5.4 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, designating this as a strong matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-110

Trey Murphy III has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (35.1%). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Trey Murphy III has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (35.1%). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 95th percentile for scoring ability with a a stellar 66.0% rate this year. The rate of field goals converted against Jonas Valanciunas has been quite high (63.8%) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 95th percentile for scoring ability with a a stellar 66.0% rate this year. The rate of field goals converted against Jonas Valanciunas has been quite high (63.8%) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Away from their home court, the Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds
Over
-122

Zion Williamson has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.3% more than he's converted overall this season. Zion Williamson has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

Zion Williamson has converted 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.3% more than he's converted overall this season. Zion Williamson has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 82nd percentile for field goal ability when playing on the road with a an excellent 54.2% rate this year. Jonas Valanciunas has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The clash with Dereck Lively II lands in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs burying a monstrous 6.4 shots per game this year when they are away from home. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 82nd percentile for field goal ability when playing on the road with a an excellent 54.2% rate this year. Jonas Valanciunas has made 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The clash with Dereck Lively II lands in just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs burying a monstrous 6.4 shots per game this year when they are away from home. The Pelicans are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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