GS -5.5 o221.5
LAC 5.5 u221.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
NBCSCA, AZ Family

Sacramento @ Phoenix props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has converted 55.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 19.5% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team has attempted 20.9 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Trey Lyles has converted 55.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 19.5% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team has attempted 20.9 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a difficult one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game. Kevin Huerter will likely see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a difficult one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game. Kevin Huerter will likely see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 5.2 mark, Eric Gordon's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 6.6 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Eric Gordon lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. This year, their opposition has come down with 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Eric Gordon has successfully made 94.4% of his free throws over the last 6 games at home, 22.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on his home court.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

In comparison to last season's 5.2 mark, Eric Gordon's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 6.6 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Eric Gordon lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. This year, their opposition has come down with 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense). Eric Gordon has successfully made 94.4% of his free throws over the last 6 games at home, 22.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on his home court.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-110

Devin Booker has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile). This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Devin Booker

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Devin Booker has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile). This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game. Malik Monk will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production for all stats.

Malik Monk

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game. Malik Monk will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production for all stats.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox has failed to convert 1.9 free throw attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.3 mark last season. As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Kings will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns). The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Aaron Fox has failed to convert 1.9 free throw attempts per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.3 mark last season. As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a mere 19.8 free throws per game.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Kevin Durant has scored 27.8 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category. Kevin Durant has made 46.9% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.9 minutes per game this year. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Kevin Durant has scored 27.8 points per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category. Kevin Durant has made 46.9% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.9 minutes per game this year. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (52.6%).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Domantas Sabonis has converted 57.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a good one for three-pointers; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a massive 48.7% of their attempts from downtown (96th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Domantas Sabonis has converted 57.4% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a good one for three-pointers; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a massive 48.7% of their attempts from downtown (96th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105

Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes slots into the 76th percentile for 3-point shots made, logging 1.7 per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 21st-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.9). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes slots into the 76th percentile for 3-point shots made, logging 1.7 per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 21st-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.9). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

Keegan Murray has attempted 13.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.7 mark last season. Keegan Murray has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Keegan Murray has attempted 13.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit more than his 9.7 mark last season. Keegan Murray has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from his home court. Keegan Murray has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic rates in the 24th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a a lackluster 26.5% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year. This year, the other team has shot 48.6% on field goal attempts (7th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The number of points notched against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (10.8 per game) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic rates in the 24th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a a lackluster 26.5% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic ranks in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game this year. This year, the other team has shot 48.6% on field goal attempts (7th-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The number of points notched against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (10.8 per game) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+102

Bradley Beal has successfully made 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Bradley Beal has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Bradley Beal has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year at home. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Bradley Beal has successfully made 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Bradley Beal has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Bradley Beal has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year at home. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Grayson Allen has sunk 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Grayson Allen has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a strong matchup. This year, their opposition has come down with 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Grayson Allen has sunk 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Grayson Allen has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile. The Suns check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 22 games with the home court advantage. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (28th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a strong matchup. This year, their opposition has come down with 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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