DET -2.0 o221.0
CHA 2.0 u221.0
MIN -7.5 o225.5
TOR 7.5 u225.5
UTA 3.0 o224.0
SA -3.0 u224.0
ORL 4.5 o216.0
LAL -4.5 u216.0
Toronto 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE3-12
Denver 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE8-5

Toronto @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Russell Westbrook will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Russell Westbrook will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-most in the league).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court (3rd-most in the league).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA). RJ Barrett will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA). RJ Barrett will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Ochai Agbaji Points Scored Props • Toronto

O. Agbaji
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Ochai Agbaji has sunk 57.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.9% less than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league). Ochai Agbaji will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Ochai Agbaji

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Ochai Agbaji has sunk 57.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.9% less than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup. The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league). Ochai Agbaji will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 97th percentile for scoring proficiency with a great 65.2% rate since the start of last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for field goal attempts; when Jokic is on his home court opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted an enormous 11.8 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been quite high since the start of last season (3.6 free throws per game when they are on the away squad: 84th percentile).

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 97th percentile for scoring proficiency with a great 65.2% rate since the start of last season. The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for field goal attempts; when Jokic is on his home court opposing starting Cs since the start of last season, they have attempted an enormous 11.8 field goals per game (100th percentile). The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been quite high since the start of last season (3.6 free throws per game when they are on the away squad: 84th percentile).

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. Gradey Dick will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance for all stats.

Gradey Dick

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

The Raptors have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season. Gradey Dick will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance for all stats.

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther has made 56.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's made over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Julian Strawther will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Julian Strawther has made 56.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's made over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Julian Strawther will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Jonathan Mogbo Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Mogbo
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Mogbo has attempted 3.1 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Jonathan Mogbo

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

The Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonathan Mogbo has attempted 3.1 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to draw fouls.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, struggling to draw fouls.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3). Christian Braun has made 67.6% of his free throws since the start of last season, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the foul line.

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3). Christian Braun has made 67.6% of his free throws since the start of last season, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA. As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, struggling to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

As a team, the Nuggets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a measly 20.0 foul shot attempts per game.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.7 shots made from the field per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.6 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.7 shots made from the field per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.6 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Toronto is a positive one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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