PHI -7.5 o213.5
BK 7.5 u213.5
MIN -7.5 o217.5
DET 7.5 u217.5
PHO 2.5 o235.0
IND -2.5 u235.0
UTA 8.5 o223.5
MIA -8.5 u223.5
NY -5.5 o238.0
CHI 5.5 u238.0
DEN -3.0 o236.5
SA 3.0 u236.5
POR 12.5 o228.5
MIL -12.5 u228.5
MEM 3.0 o231.5
GS -3.0 u231.5
ATL 7.0 o228.5
LAC -7.0 u228.5
Indiana 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-18
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE17-15

Indiana @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 77th percentile, putting up a monstrous 14.9 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner lands in the 76th percentile for threes made when playing away from home, putting up 1.8 per game this year. Myles Turner has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The rate of 3-pointers made against Bam Adebayo has been very high (48.1%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Myles Turner

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner slots into the 77th percentile, putting up a monstrous 14.9 points per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Myles Turner lands in the 76th percentile for threes made when playing away from home, putting up 1.8 per game this year. Myles Turner has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The rate of 3-pointers made against Bam Adebayo has been very high (48.1%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has converted 51.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.1% more than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home. Nikola Jovic has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). Nikola Jovic has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Nikola Jovic has converted 51.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.1% more than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home. Nikola Jovic has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). Nikola Jovic has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Andrew Nembhard has made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made over the course of the year. Andrew Nembhard has made 65.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 30.4% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Andrew Nembhard has made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made over the course of the year. Andrew Nembhard has made 65.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 30.4% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, T.J. McConnell measures in the 77th percentile for field goal effectiveness when playing away from home with a phenomenal 50.7% rate this year. T.J. McConnell has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (18th percentile). The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Among all players in the league, T.J. McConnell measures in the 77th percentile for field goal effectiveness when playing away from home with a phenomenal 50.7% rate this year. T.J. McConnell has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (18th percentile). The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The 6th-speediest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has made 38.5% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Haywood Highsmith has made 38.5% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). The matchup vs. the Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 90th percentile for shots from the field drained, tallying a monstrous 7.5 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam rates in the 90th percentile for three-point prowess when playing away from home with a superb 45.8% rate this year. Pascal Siakam has tallied 33.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 90th percentile for shots from the field drained, tallying a monstrous 7.5 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam rates in the 90th percentile for three-point prowess when playing away from home with a superb 45.8% rate this year. Pascal Siakam has tallied 33.1 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 15th percentile for three-point prowess with a bad 22.5% rate this year. Bam Adebayo has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated in all games this year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been remarkably low this year (2.9 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 24th percentile).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 15th percentile for three-point prowess with a bad 22.5% rate this year. Bam Adebayo has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated in all games this year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Myles Turner has been remarkably low this year (2.9 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 24th percentile).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile, registering a massive 24.3 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 99th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 9.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile, registering a massive 24.3 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 99th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 9.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin registers in the 85th percentile for 3-point prowess with a stellar 40.5% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Bennedict Mathurin comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The clash with Jimmy Butler lands in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting SFs nailing a monstrous 46.0% of their three-point shots this year.

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Among all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin registers in the 85th percentile for 3-point prowess with a stellar 40.5% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Bennedict Mathurin comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 31.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The clash with Jimmy Butler lands in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting SFs nailing a monstrous 46.0% of their three-point shots this year.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Heat have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

The Heat have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Tyrese Haliburton will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has converted 61.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 23.4% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up just 1.1 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Jimmy Butler has converted 61.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 23.4% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up just 1.1 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home. The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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