OKC -12.5 o217.5
PHI 12.5 u217.5
CLE -8.5 o232.0
IND 8.5 u232.0
PHO -3.0 o236.0
ATL 3.0 u236.0
SAC 2.0 o227.5
MIL -2.0 u227.5
NO 1.5 o241.0
CHI -1.5 u241.0
DEN -3.5 o234.0
DAL 3.5 u234.0
BK 4.5 o218.5
POR -4.5 u218.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE20-19
Milwaukee 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE20-17

Sacramento @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has sunk 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Bobby Portis has converted 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Bobby Portis will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production across the board.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Bobby Portis has sunk 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Bobby Portis has converted 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Bobby Portis will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production across the board.

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has successfully made 48.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Taurean Prince has converted 45.3% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3). The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league). Taurean Prince figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Taurean Prince has successfully made 48.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Taurean Prince has converted 45.3% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3). The matchup vs. the Kings is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league). Taurean Prince figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. De'Aaron Fox should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. De'Aaron Fox should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. Kevin Huerter is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. Kevin Huerter is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Keegan Murray has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 1.8 threes per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 80th percentile for foul-shot prowess when playing on the road with an impressive 87.5% rate this year.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Keegan Murray has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Keegan Murray has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 95th percentile. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 1.8 threes per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 80th percentile for foul-shot prowess when playing on the road with an impressive 87.5% rate this year.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 9.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Monk has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Malik Monk has attempted 9.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Monk has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks). The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-120

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have notched 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have notched 15.2 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has attempted 4.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Keon Ellis has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the season. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.2). Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Keon Ellis has attempted 4.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Keon Ellis has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the season. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.2). Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a lowly 13.7% of his three-point shots this season, significantly less than his 28.5 mark last season. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 64.1% mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this year to 54.6%. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.2
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made a lowly 13.7% of his three-point shots this season, significantly less than his 28.5 mark last season. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 64.1% mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's free-throw effectiveness has regressed this year to 54.6%. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 96th percentile for scoring efficiency with an exceptional 61.5% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 60.9% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 13.3% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When defending fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 93rd percentile with a massive 2.8 treys attempted against him per game this year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 96th percentile for scoring efficiency with an exceptional 61.5% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 60.9% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 13.3% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season when playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has averaged 35.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. When defending fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 93rd percentile with a massive 2.8 treys attempted against him per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has successfully made 52.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made in all games this year while playing at home. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year. Brook Lopez has sunk 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 16.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game (83rd percentile). Brook Lopez will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Brook Lopez has successfully made 52.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made in all games this year while playing at home. Among all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year. Brook Lopez has sunk 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 16.3% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.2 foul shots per game (83rd percentile). Brook Lopez will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Andre Jackson Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

A. Jackson
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Andre Jackson Jr. has converted just 52.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 75.0 rate last season.

Andre Jackson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.3

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Andre Jackson Jr. has converted just 52.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 75.0 rate last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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