These teams combined for 932 yards and 68 points in messy weather in Week 14 before totalling 876 yards and 69 points in Week 20. The Redblacks have struggled defensively away from home all year, allowing 32.9 ppg on the road. They were also torched down the stretch, allowing 324 passing yards per game and 9.9 yards per pass attempt over their final eight contests. That's bad news against an up-tempo Argos attack led by Chad Kelly who averaged 306.4 passing yards per game and 9.5 ypa. On defense, the Argos were second-last in the CFL in opponent pass efficiency (105.5) and allowed a league-high 36 pass completions of 30+ yards. They could give up big chunk plays to Ottawa QB Dru Brown and an explosive Redblacks aerial attack featuring Justin Hardy and Dominique Rhymes.
The Argos destroyed the Redblacks at BMO Field when these teams played two weeks ago but this line has been adjusted too much for the rematch. Toronto opened as a 2.5-point home fave for the previous game but is lined at -6.5 or more this week. That's too much when you consider that Toronto's defense ranks second-last in the CFL in opponent pass efficiency (103.9) and yards allowed per pass attempt (8.63). The Redblacks have been able to attack downfield with Dru Brown airing it out to Justin Hardy and Dominique Rhymes which should lead to a competitive tilt here. Most books have this spread at +6.5 for the Redblacks but a few books have it lined above that key number of 7 for an extra 10-15 cents.
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o51.5 (-110)
